9 Ahead Of The Curve

What is the Weimar Republic?

2008-10-19T23:14:00.000-07:00

If you ask me a question, I will answer it!

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Doc, I read your articles few years back and everything folded according to your theory. It was hard for me to believe at that time but almost everything was true the way you had explained. Hats off to you !

My question, where we go from here?
How many years the downturn will last?

Regards,

Jeet.

Hi Jeet,

My Harmonic Cyclical Theory states that secular markets run for 18 years. We started the secular bear market cycle in 2000 to 2003 with a cyclical bear market, last 18-36 months. Then we started a cyclical bull market from the lows in March 2003 to 2007. The Feds interest rate cuts and the vast amounts of money created by the "carry trade," caused the bull market to make all time new highs. Just since Oct. 07, the market has given up 40% of those gains, mostly in the last 4 weeks. IN 1930-1948, a secular bear market caused by deflation, declined by 80%. In 1948-1966 we had a normal economic expansion secular market after world war II. In 1966-1984, we had a secular bear market caused by inflation. Then in 1984-2002 we had the largest secular bull market, caused by the baby boom generation from war world II.

The secular markets overlap each other by 18 months when alternating from bull market to bear market. Hence, the uncertainty during the last bear market in 2000-2003. The last cyclical bull market reaching all time highs was caused by the Fed creating the housing bubble. This current bear market cycle should last only 18-36 months or not depending upon two factors.

Will the baby boomers begin liquidating their pension plans
Can the Fed re-inflate the economy without causing hyper-inflation? (Weimar Republic) ( See this link for more info. )

The typical bear decline during an inflationary bear market is -45% and during deflationary bear markets could be as high as 80% I know, stop laughing, remember the NASDAQ index at 5000 points! How low did it go in 2003? The NASDAQ declined 80%!!

Now in 15 days we will see if the market stabilizes, given the "Obama" factor. If the market stabilizes, we will see higher taxes for everyone or the Fed will continue to print money like the Weimar Republic. If the Dow Jones Index falls below 7200 points, we will be heading lower into a depression.

I will be answering more questions concerning 401(k) plans, insurance policies, and financial survivor plans in later posts.

Thanks Jeet for your question.

God Bless

Doc

http://www.doctrader.com/

Word Cloud for this Post.

Bernanke Boggle: Halo or Horns?

2006-05-09T20:03:00.000-07:00

Bernanke Boggle: Halo or Horns?

by Doctrader

Image by CainAndToddBenson via Flickr

The Bernanke Boggle concerns the stealth inflation factors which the Federal Reserve has largely ignored during it’s calculation of inflation, excising hydrocarbons and carbohydrates. As with the early 70’s, the Federal Reserve is behind the inflation curve and will only exacerbate the inflation curve by painting themselves into a liquidity trap.
Bernanke will have a “Halo” for the stock market by not raising rates higher, despite the inflation warning signs. The temporary Bernanke Halo will turn to “Horns” when the market’s irrational exuberance begins to fade. The Federal Reserve’s charter is to prevent runaway inflation, such as “hyper inflation” that Germany experienced after World War II. You could not buy a loaf of bread with a wheelbarrow of money in post World War II Germany. There are many countries today who are suffering from hyperinflation, but you will not hear the Market Media Matrix talking about those countries. The Market Media Matrix’s job is to only spout endless stories of “happy days are here again”. The sad fact is that the more this lie is told, the easier it is to convince more people that it is true. I see the polarization of America in my travels across the country. The rich are getting richer and the middle class are getting poorer. The un-skilled laborers are slowly being moved into the poverty line by inflation.
The immigration inflation factor is also an unknown factor. In my last post, Profit, Politics, and Protection, the protest marchers have learned very quickly to market themselves as peaceful protestors. If we see the protestors marching with American Flags and singing the National Anthem with the words they wrote to the song, their stealth infiltration into the American economy will be complete. Make no mistake by believe these are just un-organized peaceful protesters; they have a highly organized structure and financial backing. Their financial backing is based in the communist party. Hence the march on May 1, the "world workers party”

The classic Federal Reserve incompetence, gambling with the world’s future economy, in their arrogance of trying to “fine tune” the free market. They will create the largest loss of market capitalization in the history of the world. The new Federal Reserve Chairman, Ben Bernanke, will undoubtedly try to institute his historical understanding of the Great Depression’ of the 1930’s. According to Dr. Bernanke, he would to flood the economy with dollars spurring economic activity to “grow out of a depressed economy“.
The correct way to end a depression, however, we are entering into an inflationary period of time as China, India, and other developing country compete for resources.
The Ben Bernanke Boogle has begun with the market media matrix spouting its everlasting bullish attitude to the average investor. Ben Bernanke failure to recognize the inevitable harmonic stock market cycle will create the greatest challenges for long term investors, which are the “baby boomers”.

The Federal Reserve goal is to fight inflation, not spur the stock market to irrational exuberant highs. The market media matrix drum beat of high corporate profits doesn’t mean a thing to the average investors. “Earnings up 14% on the S&P 500 stocks” shout the financial headlines. When company xyz make spectacular earnings, how much are they paying to the shareholders?
High earnings mean nothing if the investor doesn’t make dime in dividends.
The average investor who watches the news sees the Dow Jones Industrials are marching toward a new historic high and he will want to jump on the bandwagon. My target for the Dow Jones Industrial average is 12,454 points, based on historical repeating market cycle of human behavior in 1973. In 1973 the Dow Jones Index did indeed break to new highs, above the 1000 level, but the index spent the next two years in a bear market correction as inflation swept through the economy. The average investor must be fully invested before the inflation bubble collapses the market. Once most of the individual investors are fully invested, the lack of buying interest will fade and prices will collapse. The “greater fool” theory will have been completed and without the support of new foolish money prices will collapse. Today’s investors may no remember the 70’s “misery index”, but they will!
Inflation is not something that can be measured quantitatively and does not move in measured increments. The “data” the Federal Reserve uses only looks backwards in time, just as corporate earnings reflect the past. There are many factors which could cause inflation to erupt like a “back draft” which will incinerate long term capital gains in a matter of days. The inflation “back draft” list is growing longer each day. These include geopolitical events, oil production disruption, oil production nationalization, illegal immigrant inflation factor, bird flu, interest rates increases, natural disasters, political, social and racial riots, and celestial events.

The same scenario happened in 1973 with the same geopolitical problems. Unlike the 1970’s however, most Americans were not invested heavily in the stock market. The geopolitical events will be the driving force that precipitates the market’s decline. The geopolitical forces are not quantifiable by the Federal Reserves calculations on inflation. Congress has been complacently incompetent by incumbency trying the same old tired solutions of the 70’s. Until we have new leaders in Congress, the same mistakes will be repeated just as the 70’s gasoline lines begin to form during Memorial Day Weekend. The oil company’s profits are a hyped by the Market Media Matrix knowing that most American’s are ignorant of how the stock market works. The deliberate dumbing down of America through the public education guarantees an easily manipulated labor force by the Market Media Matrix. Due to the lack of public education on the capitalist system and free markets, Generation X er’s have been taught more communism and socialism in their educational institutions instead of capitalism.

Every generation has a need to become the dominating generation. However, the members of “Generation X” are deficient in critical thinking to create a rational and logical solution to the problems we face today. The Members of Generation X are today’s money managers. They will be culpable for the high levels of programmed trading in the stock market. The fact that 6 out of ever 10 trades are being manipulated by computerized programmed trading will lead to huge market collapse in the stock market over the next year. In 1999, the average volume of programmed trading was around 20%, compared to today of 60%! The Russell 2000 Index is largely a proxy for programmed trading with over 1200 stocks out of the 2000 stocks controlled by institutional money managers. The Standards and Poors 500 Index has 458 stocks which have more than 50% of their shares controlled by institutional programmed trading!

The stage is set, for most Americans the collapse will be felt in their retirement accounts and 401(k). The next level of pain will be their home valuations, and lastly the cost of food and energy. It will be up to you to take the necessary steps to preserver your wealth by using protective stops and put options if you own individual stocks.

However, for most Americans who are passive investors through their pension plans and 401 (k) plans, they should systematically begin to move money into money market accounts and 10-20% of their account value into a precious metals and commodities. Remember, these spectacular earnings are not being paid to you, but are kept by the company. Your only profit in most of these stocks are “un-realized gains”, it will be up to you to take your profits before you have long term capital losses.

Meanwhile the short term and nimble traders will make huge profitable trades shorting the stock market and leveraging put options with my chicken straddle spread strategy.

Some prime examples of why you need the chicken straddle strategy are demonstrated in the following charts. (ESRX, ISRG, EXPD and GOOG . It does not matter if the stocks go up or down, you can be profitable with the chicken straddle strategy.

God Bless
Doc

OTHER RELATED ARTICLES BY DOCTRADER
Friday, May 14, 2004
Sell in May and Go Away

Monday, March 27, 2006
Bernanke: Batter UP!

Bernanke: Batter UP!The market anticipates the next two Federal Reserves meetings with the new Federal Reserve Chairman, Ben Bernanke to end raising interest rates.

Friday, February 24, 2006
The Feds Liquidity Trap Part II, Inflation or Deflation?

Thursday, December 22, 2005

Profits, Politics, and Protection

2006-04-09T14:52:00.000-07:00

Profits, Politics, and Protection
By Doctrader.com

Starting on Monday, Americans will find out how much illegal immigration will cost businesses in profits, who will be held politically accountable, and how much it will cost for real border protection.

The Market Media Matrix dictates that all activities revolve around producing a profit. The “Market” is all forms of businesses and profits. The “Media” dictates how you should “think and feel” about businesses and events. The “Matrix” is created out of the mass consciousness of people who are not free, logical thinkers.” The “Market-Media” has created the “Matrix Reality”. When I talk to people about the high rates of taxes they just shrug their shoulders and say, “what can we do about it?” They are living their lives out in quiet desperation not realizing that they have the power to hold the politicians feet to the fire and change the “Matrix.” Due to political correctness, the false Market Media Matrix reality of “Generation X” has increased the children’s confidence and self assurances without any evidence of competency with the rest of the industrial nations.

Profits:
A profit at any cost is the American business motto, right? You can only judge a tree by the fruits it bears. There are many examples and anecdotal evidence offered by the liberal news media about the benefits of illegal immigrants who are doing jobs that no one else would do. What all these stories fail to mention is that most illegal immigrants are making much more than minimum wages. The average person still believes that illegal immigrants are picking strawberries and cabbages for less than minimum wages.

Illegal immigrants are being used for high paying skilled jobs, such as carpentry and masonry, landscaping, and unskilled factory work. Which according to an immigrant advocate are averaging $15 per hour! These are the jobs everyone would want not just an illegal immigrant. In all business the largest cost factor is labor. So, given the choice of hiring an American or an illegal immigrant the businesses will hire those who will work for less money. Choosing the lower labor cost has depressed all American wage earners and increased corporation’s profits. Since it is not the businesses’ job to investigate an employee’s legal citizen status businesses can in spirit of the law and the letter of the law hire just about anyone with proper paperwork. This leads to greasing the political palms to keep the charade up of guest workers, undocumented workers and a whole host of politically correct names.

Politics:
Years ago, back in the 1980’s when I was in college I had to produce papers that I was an American citizen. Being a fan of the World War II movies I can hear in my mind the Gestapo saying, “Papers! Papers please. Show us your papers!”. When in the 1980’s the requirement of verifying citizenship was increased from a mere social security card or green card I was not a fan. I could not figure out why I had to show papers which could easily be stolen, copied, or forged and sold for a profit to illegal aliens. It would have been much simpler for the illegal immigrants to produce a “green card”allowing them to work here. The politics of producing profits was conditioning us, the law abiding American, to carry personal identification papers.

The Pavlov Conditioning effects of the Market Medial Matrix created political power and profits to the politicians who supported the law. Flash forward twenty (20) years and we have an invading army within our borders destroying our language and culture.

After 9/11 the first act of congress was to nationalize airline security by creating another political agency to “protect the American people” from hijacking. Meanwhile, the borders were left largely unguarded! The first step that should have been taken was to close the borders and not leave them wide open. This demonstrates the political incompetence of our politicians, both Democrat and Republican. Or, was it a calculated risk to gain the fast growing minority’s votes at the expense of the complacent tax burdened American voters?

The politicians never act until there is a crisis situation. They “come to the rescue” by enacting “knee-jerk public opinion polls” to make their constituents feel better Ben Franklin said, “They that can give up essential liberty to purchase a little temporary safety deserve neither liberty nor safety.” We have been fooled again with the help of the Market Media Matrix. The immigration laws have not been enforced because of the large profit potential by employing illegal immigrants without the protection of the Labor Relation Laws. Liberal politicians would like for you to believe that every illegal immigrant is doing a job that no American would like to do. Never mind they are placing illegal immigrants in potentially abusive situations. Not only are the politicians failing to protect the immigrants, they are failing to protect Americans by allowing open borders.

Let’s look at some simple numbers for a reality check.
If there are 15 million illegal immigrants within our country working hard and paying taxes “are we to believe that there are not deviants amount them”? “The Market Media Matrix dictates that all poor people are hard-working and honest“. Unfortunately, the Market Media Matrix reality bubble bursts with FBI statistics.

If we take the normal distribution of deviate behavior of the US population we know that at least 1% will have criminal tendencies ranging from child molesters to murders. If 99% of the illegal immigrants are law abiding and 1% are criminals, How much is it costing us and our economy?

That 1% represents 150,000 potential criminals who have to be caught, prosecuted, and incarcerated. The cost to the American tax payers, include educating illegal immigrant’s children, welfare, Medicaid, Food Stamps, personal injuries, auto accidents, social security fraud, and a host of other expenses can be estimated at $40,000 per illegal immigrant. So 150,000 times $40,000 would equal $6,000,000,000 dollars.

Protection:

Congress has failed to protect and uphold their oath of office. Congress should be recalled by the American people to hold their feet to the fire for allowing profits to come before this nation’s protection.

The first duties of the congressmen are to protect and preserve the Constitution from all enemies, foreign and domestic. Last year there were 80 different nationalities of illegal immigrants were caught crossing the border from Mexico along with illegal immigrants. This undoubtedly is the greatest of security risk we have ever faced in our nation’s history. Yet, the Market Media Matrix has glossed over this major security flaw.

The first reasonable act of congress during a time of war should be to secure the borders. But in typical knee-jerk reaction they have created another useless government agency to help the airline industry. Profits come first in America at the expense of protection. They have created the Homeland Security Agency and the TSA to protect Americans.

These agencies provide very little protection against the massive open border policies which have been in place for the last 20 years. Congress has been complacently incompetent by incumbency. Congress’ complacency has been caused by voter’s incompetence repeatedly returning 95% of the politicians to office year-after-year. Through the help of the Market Media Matrix conditioning, the average American is polarized with stereotypical one-line sound bites. You have been so conditioned by these "one-line sound bite" you don't consciously think! You have heard these... " rich vs. poor", "Republican vs. Democrat", "White vs. Black", etc… headlines that grabs the attention of the "adults" reading at a 5th grade level.

During last week’s protest march for illegal immigrants I witnessed the silent invasion of our country’s borders by a foreign nation. Seeing all the Mexican flags paraded throughout our streets should sound the Paul Revere Alarm.

Image by Edu-Tourist via Flickr

There is nothing more stirring to the American flag being raised on Iwo Jima by the marines who liberated the island from Japan during World War II. The spirit of those who fought World War II is gone today. The only worries of the Baby-boomer generation is how much profit they are going to make on their pension plans, homes, and their stock portfolios. Congress should not make any new laws. They need to follow those already in place.

The first step is having the guts to close the borders, enforce the immigration laws, and build a secure border. The next step should be to determine who and where illegal immigrants are. Once that is determined these people should be added to the waiting list of those who are legally petitioning to enter the US.

Protection of our borders should come first over politics and profits.

God Bless

Doc

Alert: Long Term Stock Holders

2006-03-19T15:00:00.000-08:00

Alert: Long Term Stock Holders

The focus of this post is to alert long term stock holders of the next short term cyclical bear market type which is approaching within the next few weeks.

The first cyclical and secular bear market began with human nature. A cyclical market lasts an average of 18 months, whereas a secular market lasts 18 years. These market cycles are defined on my website at http://www.harmonicstockclock.com.

Image by doctrader via Flickr

Each Secular Bear market type (18 years) begins with the same type of cyclical market, i.e. bull or bear lasting an average of 18 months. The last Secular inflationary Bear market lasting 18 years began on Feb 10th, 1966, with the Dow Jones Index reaching an all time high of 1001 points. The next Secular market type was a bull market lasting 18 years from 1982 to 2000, with the Dow Jones Index reaching a high of 11750 points. These market types alternate between bull market and bear markets. Just as Secular market types alternate, cyclical market (18 months) types alternate between bull and bear markets. The focus of this post is to alert long term stock holders of the next short term cyclical bear market type which is approaching within the next few weeks.

Let's look at history to find a repeating cycle of the type of current market cyclical we are experiencing. Knowing the Secular (18 years) Bear market began in 1966 with a cyclical (18 months) bull and bear markets alternating every 18 months on average. The first cyclical bear market cycle began on Feb 10 1966 to Oct 10th 1966 with a correction of 23%. The next cyclical bull market type began with a move up from the lows on Oct 11, 1966 at 735 points to a high of 994 on Dec 2, 1968, up 29%. Next a cyclical bear market, (18 months) cumulating in a loss of 31% , back to a low of 627 points on Jun 1, 1970. The next cyclical bull bounce from the lows to a new ALL TIME HIGH of 1067 points Jan 18, 1973.

The Dow moved to new highs, 1067 points, despite inflation warning signs and in face of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates. The move to new highs was followed by a 16% correction throughout the summer of 73, and 43% correction to Oct 4, 1974! The Dow Jones Index was at 624 points on Oct 30, 1974. The average inflationary bear market looses 36% in a correction.

Now if we simply count the number of years from 66 to 73, we have a 7 years time span, with two cyclical bull and bear markets. The first bear market correction was as bad as the second one in 73, because we had the last stages of deflation in 1966. By 1970, President Nixon and the Fed were trying to stop rising inflation, (at 1.3% a year) by imposing wage and

Image via Wikipedia

price freezes.

Inflation, like wild fires, start small, then depending on the winds can quickly become a raging forest fire, which is exactly what happened. Soon, inflation throughout the 70's sky rocketing to double digits, energy, food, un-employment, and interest rates all moved higher. (20%)

Flash forward to Jan 2000, when the Dow Jones Index posted an intra day all time high of 11750 only to be followed by a 3 year cyclical bear market down to 7745 or a -36% loss. Remember, there are 6 cyclical (18 months) market cycles within the long term secular cycle lasting 18 years. The average bull and bear market cycles lasting an average of 18 months.

The first cyclical market type, in 2000 was a bear market, lasting 36 months, with a 36% loss. The next cyclical market type was a bull market. The current cyclical bull market has lasted over 36 months with a gain of 50% from the lows.

If this market is a reflection of the previous secular bear market starting in 1966, then we had another 11% move to the upside! If the Dow Jones index hits the all time high of 11750, then we can expect to add 6% more to a new high of 12,455 points! The market moved in 1973 move to an all time high, up 6%, breaking the 1001 points barrier.

The next bear market correction should will come after the Dow reaches 12,455 points. The next correction will be the biggest correction of all! The next correction will wipe out the "baby boomers retirement accounts" and those who still believe in the "buy and hold" theory.

The perfect financial storm is coming with higher inflation, aging "baby boomers", and falling home prices. These problems are world wide, not just in the U.S. only.

The economy is dependent on new consumers; unfortunately, the "baby boomers" have allowed abortion to kill 60 million new consumers and future tax payers in the U.S.

Image by Christchurch City Libraries via Flickr

( Notice from 1973 to current 2001, an estimated of 60 million consumers would have smoothed the transition between the generation x who are largely under 20 years old.)

Next time you are out looking for some service at a store, just think to yourself, "I am relying on this person to pay social security taxes?

Boomers represent 28% of the U.S. population. But in 1964, they represented about 40% of the population.
In other words, in 1964, more than a third of the population was under 19 years old!
No wonder the baby boomers attracted so much attention. In 1996, there were approximately 10 million Americans over the age of 80. Nonetheless, in about a decade, 70 million boomers will begin counting on those "kids" to pay our social security. But that's another set of statistics for another time. Bill Geist who noted first (in 1997) in his book "The Big 5-Oh" that another boomer turns 50 every 7 seconds. Whew! Is that possible? 4,000,000 will turn 50 in 2006, Or almost 11,000 per day!

Russell 2000 Index

Now I know what you are thinking, what about the Russell 2000 Index reaching new highs? If you look at a chart of the S&P 500 Index back to the same time period, 1966 to 1973, the index was making new highs also. In 1973, both the S & P 500 and the Dow Jones Index had major corrections of 40 to 48%. The main reasoning the S & P 500 was making new highs was the belief that investing in a broad diversification of industries would protect against long term losses. Well, guess what?

The cyclical inflationary bear market caused the S & P 500 to fall almost 48%. Also, notice, both Dow Jones and S&P 500 both corrected at the same time! The Russell 2000 Index is following the same pattern, and will suffer the highest percentage of losses.

The geo political ramifications of the 1966 Secular Bear market are the same as they are today.

Our economy is strong because we are fighting a war.
Un-employment is low because the numbers of soldiers from the National Guard units are in rotation and employers have to hire temporary workers until the soldiers return.
Commodity prices are rising due to the surge of industrial Capacity Utilization.
The baby boomers started the housing boom, with their large population bubble moving throughout the economy buying and consuming everything.
Our international relationships are not secured, especially with oil producing nations.
China is both are enemy and our friend.
China as a "Wal-mart" proxy is our friend by keeping prices low.
China as our enemy, is consuming raw materials and commodities driving prices higher for raw materials.

Knowing the market media matrix proganda, they will promote the 5 or 6 year all time highs for the Dow Jones Index to boost viewer enthusiasm to buy long over the next weeks.

However, due to the vast volume of programmed computerized trading that has boosted brokerage houses profits, any major moves in the market will accompany huge volume trading day. The huge volume of trading during the day should reach above 4 billion shares traded by 2nd harmonic stock clock time zone. Total volume of trading should reach 6 billion shares traded by the last harmonic stock clock time zone during the day.
These volume high points will mark the beginning of the next bear market correction after the bond yields start expanding from the inversion.

Good Luck long term investors.

God Bless

Doc

Market Forecast to March 25th

2006-03-12T19:36:00.000-08:00

The Market Forecast to March 25

The Dow, NASDAQ, S&P 500 and Russell 2k are in red signal line testing mode. These indexes should bounce off the red signal line within the next two weeks. Should these indexes drop below the red signal line on the Harmonic Stock Clock, a Bear Market Correction (BMC) could cumulative into an 18-20% sell off on stocks that comprise the indexes. The key signals to watch over the next few weeks are the treasury inverted bond yield and the 10 year bond reaching a high over 5% before the Fed raises rates once again at the end of the month.

Image by doctrader via Flickr

New Dow Jones Index Forecast: high 11208, low range 10786, total points 422.
New NASDAQ Forecast: High range 2333, low range 2241 total points 92
New CRB Index Forecast: High range 339 low range 315 total points 24
New S&P 500 Forecast: High range 1303, low range 1259 total points 44 points
New U. S. Dollar Forecast: High range 91 low range 89.3 total points 1.7
New Russell 2000 Index Forecast: High range 749, low range713, total points 33.
New Gold Index Forecast: High range 574, low range 538 total points 36.
New Oil Service Index Forecast: High range 212 low range 182 total point range 30

This week is the anniversary of the NASDAQ reaching an all time high of 5000 points. After 6 years, the market is barely up 50% off the lows in 2002. This should inspire profit taking, especially during option expiration week. I am expecting an 18 to 20% market wide correction within the next 2 weeks.

The other possibility is a market short squeeze, pushing the Dow Jones Index to new highs around 12,400 points. The market internal have been weak all week compounded with geo political concerns, mad cow, bird flu, and the uncertain future direction of the Fed with it's continual rate increases.

God Bless

DocRelated

The Port Portiere Pecuniary Peccadillo

2006-02-21T09:16:00.000-08:00

America For Sale: The Dubai Ports Peccadillo

If only you knew what was going on in the wide world of business, you would understand the dangers of the Market Media Matrix. The recent Port Portiere Pecuniary Peccadillo should wake up most Americans to the realization that everything in America is for Sale. This sad fact was brought to the attention of "Joe six pack" back in September of 2001. The people who work for a living are too busy watching "American Idol", and "Desperate House Wives", to understand they are living in the world that George Orwell created many decades ago.

Back in the fall of 2001, Americans did not care who was controlling the airline security screening, they were just happy to have cheap airline tickets. The average Americans doesn't care when they call a "800" number for technical support, where the connection is located. Americans do not care when their investments are being manipulated by foreign investors through programmed trading, as long as the prices keep going higher. Foreign investors using our stock market like a gigantic gambling casino with long term investors sitting at the loser's table. The global financial markets go beyond borders, language and culture. The large amounts of cash are being moved (S.W.I.F.T)ly throughout the world's trading markets, silently moves between countries with the Federal Reserve's consent. This week's Port Portiere Pecuniary Peccadillo should make it obvious that everything in America is for Sale to the highest bidder. The Panama Canal is owned by the Chinese. The Indiana and Illinois toll roads are being bought by a consortium of international investors. There are several military suppliers being bought by foreign companies. Isn't it a shame that the Army's new black berets were being manufacture in China, until enough people passed the word. Isn't it a shame that there is no television manufactures in America.

So no one cares until their security and safety is in jeopardy. Americans demanded that only the government could control the airline security function, hence the newly created TSA. Now that we feel better making the TSA part of the federal government, yet studies show the airport screening process is far from perfect. The purpose of politicians are to protect their constituents, yet the politician are only concerned with re-election and to profit from their positions of power on select committees. The 45 day waiting period was waived by low level bureaucratic minions at the subtle bequest of major political power brokers. There are reports of Republican Bob Doyle legally representing the Abu-Dhabi consortium and Secretary John Snow who used the same consortium when he was working for CSX railroad.

The amount of money being spent by this administration should be questioned by members of the Republican party. If the present administration were a Democrat, the Republican lock steppers would be shouting for fiscal responsibility, yet they are given a free reign in spending like a drunken sailor in Thailand.

Image via Wikipedia

The market media matrix broadcast the headlines of " Six American Ports for sale" to a Abu-Dhabi consortium, DP world. Now "Joe six pack" assumes that the company will control all aspects of the ports. This is not true, but in the market media matrix world, sensational headlines sell newspapers. Since the Headlines encourage readers to buy newspapers, their ad rates improve. The politicians, who don't want to be caught sleeping at the helm also jump on the popular cry of the headlines. This is a mid-term election year, and no politician wants to be on record of letting this popular event pass by without getting their 15 minute of fame. Even the truth is for Sale in America, based on ratings!

In the most shocking of all aspects of this debate is the fact that no politicians came forward with the sale of the the port portiere pecuniary peccadillo until news reached talk radio shows. As President Bush tried to justify the decision of turning over management of the ports, vowing to veto any legislation to stop the handover, all the politicians, both democrats and republicans now want to investigate the sale decision. President Bush further stated that all security aspects were scrutinized and no security risk was associated with the handover. Later this week, President Bush now says he didn't know anything about it until it was in the media spotlight. As the week ends, the news headlines have turned to other events in the middle east with a possible civil war breaking out in Iraq. The threat of civil war is caused by an Iranian intervention in the Iraqi internal affairs. Thanks to inadequate border security and a weak Iraqi army, the attacks will probably continue.

Meanwhile, on the home front, some good news if you believe "the glass is half full" with the economy and investments. History of world market's are secular and time will tell if you are right.

Good News: Wage Earners Rises 8.9%
An inflation Warning indicating rising labor cost.

Good/Bad News: Value of Equities owned by foreigners rise by $500+ Billion 2005 Foreign investments are controlling more U.S. companies.

Bad News: Top Insider Selling Rose 6% in January From December, High CEO turnovers, jumping ship before their stock prices fall.

Good/Bad News: Announced Corporate Buying Doubles Corporate Selling in February. Companies buying stock instead of paying dividends or investing in R&D. Announced buy backs are not always completed, but help bolster short term stock prices in light of insider selling.

Bad News: Portfolio managers and individual investors apparently fearing a slide in real estate are putting about $1 billion per day in offshore banks. Shifting money to off shore banks in case of banking failures due to real estate slump, credit card debt, and increased bankruptcies.

Bad News: U.S. economy is growing rapidly, job postings index is holding steady at its highest level since May 2001. The beginning of the last cyclical bear market started which I predicted in August 2001 in my yahoo group, with a duration between 18-36 months. The market declined from Sept 2001 down 45% over the next 2 years.

Bad News: Portfolio Managers Dump U.S. Equities
Bad News:: Four Major Futures-Related ETFs
Redeem $4.6 Billion in February and $10.8 Billion this year.

Good/Bad News: Individual investors' affection for global equity global equity funds posted an inflow of $4.2 billion.
Bad News: U.S. equity funds have been virtually ignored.

Housing to Spur Global Economic Slowdown?

According to a report in the Washington Times, a home sales slowdown and recent drop in mortgage applications could pull the economy into deeper waters and, in the process, energize the arguments and political agendas of many. The Washington Times went on to say,
"The booming housing market has driven a third to a half of the growth in jobs in recent years. Economists estimate the housing bonanza is slowly coming to an end."

Trimtabs.com reports:

Estimated Global Equity Fund Inflows Exceed $2 Billion for Unprecedented Sixth Week. Meanwhile, Individual Investors Remain Wary of U.S. Stocks: U.S. Equity Fund Inflows Slump to $10 Million Daily.

Being 9 steps Ahead of the Curve,
(my past post concerning the Fed raising rates and the stock market, my article called Market Strength Index, 7-10-2001 in docsstockclock yahoo group)

I predicted the future market changes and the coming cyclical bear market in 2000 just before long term investors lost an estimated 9 trillion dollars.

The Fed created a liquidity trap, which has led them to a conundrum of an inverted yield curve. A simple tax law change occurred which sparked the real estate wild fires of inflation in the housing market. The wild fires of inflation will be spread throughout the world with the commodity market and will be exacerbated by the Federal Reserve raising interest rates higher.

God Bless
Doc

Google God Privacy Rights Part II

2006-02-08T07:10:00.000-08:00

Someone in the Justice Department is reading Revelations. Revelation 17:5, “And upon her forehead was a name written. MYSTERY, BABYLON THE GREAT, THE MOTHER OF HARLOTS AND ABOMINATIONS OF THE EARTH.” Do you think that description fits the Internet?

Image via Wikipedia

To think that everyone thought the internet was free, fun, and private. There were live websites where you could witness the unfiltered searches from those on the internet. One such website was Metaspy.com, they provided viewers with entertainment value by allowing people to look at what others were searching for. However, that voyeur service which discontinued thanks to the Market Media Matrix effect.

I now receive the top searched words on the internet from WordTracker which tracks all the searched words on the internet. Why would someone track searched words? The most popular searched words are used to sell advertising of these searched words. The market Media matrix is creating profits through the internet by giving people what they want. For the Companies, they are giving people "ad words" to steer customers to their websites. For customers, they are trying to provide relevant content for a given "searched word". For webmasters, they are providing a guidelines for building websites based on what people are searching for. It is a vicious circle of creating profits through advertising and marketing.

I think the Justice Department should subscribe to the free subscription to find out what most people are searching for. The Market Media Matrix stories have the premise all wrong concerning the “Google God” reluctance to release search results in order to stop children from viewing porn sites. Remember, Google is a search engine with a huge advertising arm. Everyone who’s been around the internet more than a month knows what many people are searching for. It should be no surprise that sex is at the top of the list. The first command to man in the Bible, Genesis 1:28, was to be “fruitful and multiply“.

The Justice Department wants to protect “children from porn” by finding how prolific porn sites are. Is the Justice Department need from the "Google God" just another excuse to invade personal privacy or do they really want to protect children? I am for protecting children from porn, but against the way the Government wants to proceed.

The line between my rights of privacy and the Market Media Matrix have long ago been destroyed by the internet. The lines between government and parents rights of protection of their children has been destroyed also with the child protection laws. Now the government wants my internet search results destroying my privacy rights. Despite protest from Google, other major search engines like yahoo, AOL, and MSN have yielded to the governments requests.

Let's be clear about one thing, Google is not protecting my rights, they are protecting their rights of privacy, marketing, and advertising in the Market Media Matrix. The individual rights of privacy of the ordinary citizens were given up once you entered into the internet Market Media Matrix.

In the AGE of the INTERNET the children have adopted the technology faster than their parents. the internet has the whole world’s knowledge base just a click away. Having all knowledge integrated into one source is a two edge sword. The internet has good information and bad information. Parents are the protectors of children in the homes, however they have not taken the necessary precautions when it involves the internet. The home is where parents are the protectors, but in today's society parents have surrender protection responsibilities to others.

My niece was playing on the internet with her grandmother one day and she wanted to see what her "name.com" would bring up. You know what happened? I could hear a scream across the state line.... Luckily, the domain name is for sale, but that brings me to my next point. .

The fundamental question is “who determines the boundaries for our children, the government or the parents.

These lines have been blurred by liberal laws ushering in an era of governmental responsibility which can turn good parents into criminals. Parents cannot discipline their children using corporal punishment without the fear of someone reporting them to child protective services. A simple accusation brings in the government Gestapo with armed guards into a home stirring up emotional turmoil and instilling fear. Remember Elian?

Does Elian look scared or happy?

The rights of privacy have been shoveled into the trash can of the 19th century. You have no rights of privacy on the internet. Absolutely, positively, no privacy rights at all on the internet.

Image via Wikipedia

Every e-mail, every chat room message, every instant message, every comment you have written is forever archived with your name. Every time you visit a website, that website deposits a tracking cookie on your hard drive. Some cookies are benign while other cookies are designed with the ability to track your movements over the internet after you leave the website. These tracking cookies spy on your internet activities and send these reports to its creator. All parents with children should scan their hard drive for these tracking cookies to help protect their children from porn. There was an old commercial that asked, "it's 10 pm,do you know where your children are?" In today's world, you need to ask, "if your children are on the internet, do you know where they have been?

The simple answer to children accessing pornography is for parents to demand all porn sites have “dot xxx” designation. This simple name change will help parents retain control over their children's internet viewing without the intrusive government intervention on parent's rights of privacy. The questions every parent should be asking the Justice Department is why hasn't this simple name change been implemented? The answer lies within the Market Media Matrix between advertisers, corporations, and profits.

Take the “Red pill”

There are many big and well- known companies who do not want to be affiliated with porn sites. However, by using “dot.com” designation, these porn sites are camouflaged among the legitimate web sites. The internet service providers are secretly making huge profits from porn sites. These porn sites uses massive amounts of bandwidth and are charged significantly. Thereby earning larger profits for the major telecommunications service providers.

Just as AT & T made huge profits off of their 900 numbers and phone sex numbers years ago. If you knew that company “xyz” was making 70% or more of their profits by hosting porn, would investors continue to own their stock? No!

Once these porn sites are identified with a “dot xxx“ designation instead of “dot.com”, investors can make a moral investment decision. The realization that using a “dot.xxx“ designation to identify porn sites would sharply curtail the earnings and profits for the major telecom companies who host porn sites. If people's moral indignation over porn causes the telecom's stock price to fall, there will be less advertising to the Market Media Matrix and less profits for shareholders.

The internet is designed to make money from advertising, selling products and services, meanwhile privacy is surrendered for that convenience. Just remember, while you are visiting a website, 10,000 Market Media Matrix advertisers are watching you!

God Bless

Doc

Sapient Super Bowl Surveillance.

2006-02-05T12:36:00.000-08:00

Sapient Super Bowl Surveillance.

Image via Wikipedia

The real super bowl is not the game itself, but the Sapient Stealth Surveillance of those who are attending the super bowl. In previous years after 911 there were many discussions on the safety and security of large media events using new technologies to enhance security. There is very little talk about these security measures, mainly due to their wide spread acceptance and realization that the Market Media Matrix has imposed these stealth surveillance measures, with or without your knowledge. As I have pointed out in previous blogs, the Google God is a False God; we are indeed living in an Orwellian society. Yet those who attend the Super Bowl and other sporting events are accepting the invasion of their privacy without as much as a whimper. The "dumbing down" of Americans has continued to the point where ignorance is bliss.

The Sapient Stealth Super bowl Surveillance begins before the events happen and before the arrival of many of its participants arrive in the city. Starting with the airports, hotels, and traffic lights, participants are monitored and tracked by their credit cards and cellular phones. Since 911, all new cell phone have a global positioning chip installed within each unit, owners are matched with phone records and credit cards verifying their true identities. During the events, every one's picture will be taken, cataloged, and criminal background inquiries made.

Image by heath_bar via Flickr

Earlier this week, we were told that cellar phone records can be made available to anyone through the internet. The legislatures only began to discuss laws concerning privacy when their phone records were being made public also. No one knows how long this has been going on, but is just another example of the Market Media Matrix infiltrating society's right to privacy for profit. History teaches us that absolute power corrupts absolutely; our society is heading toward absolute power within the Market Media Matrix substituting privacy for profit.

Google has been the focus of these issues lately due to their control over the internet for profit. They have been most notorious of penalizing those who oppose the Google God's commandments by accepting or declining inclusion of websites within their search index.

They have taken on well named corporations for violating the "Google Commandments" such at BMW and Dell. The case with BMW was ruled inappropriate behavior of creating doorway pages to their website. A serious violation of the commandments which was punished by removing all backward links from the BMW websites and assigning a rating of 0 on the Google scale (http://blog.outer-court.com/archive/2006-02-04-n60.html)

IN the case of Dell, the Google God exposed private information to the pubic by indexing trade secrets on future lap top configurations. (http://networks.silicon.com/webwatch/0,39024667,39156123,00.htm)

Google's answer to theses simple privacy vs. profit concerns was the creation of a private internet which they can control and do with as they wish. The rumors are Google plans to take the internet private. (http://business.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,9075-2023600,00.html)

The Market Media Matrix is starved for revenue there are plans to charge for sending email. The biggest proponents of these ideas are the major telecoms companies,(AOL), and Yahoo.
"Postage Is Due for Companies Sending E-Mail","Companies will soon have to buy the electronic equivalent of a postage stamp if they want to be certain that their e-mail will be delivered to many of their customers" This amounts to internet "blackmail" since paying customers will be assured of email delivery, while the non-paying customers are not. Postage Is Due for Companies Sending E-Mail.

The End of the Internet?

The major telecoms are also trying to privatize a "new internet" for a fee, in order to replace the revenue they are loosing from the free internet. "Verizon, Comcast, Bell South and other communications giants are developing strategies that would track and store information on your every move in cyberspace in a vast data-collection and marketing system, the scope of which could rival the "National Security Agency"(NSA).

Image via Wikipedia

Now with all the painted faces, people will begin to file into the stadium, to watch men play a sport, much like the gladiatorial days of Rome, cheering for their favorite side to win. They should know their false Gods are watching their every move. The Market Media Matrix has emerged it a formidable force. Sooner than later, the Market Media Matrix will have absolute power over everything you cherish in this life.

Ok, so you are watching the “game” at home...

Think you are safe from the Market Media Matrix?
Think again, you are watching the game on cable or satellite,
guess who is watching you?

Doc
www.doctrader.com
www.harmonicstockclock.com

The Honey Bee Effect (Apis mellifera)

2006-01-20T08:48:00.000-08:00

The Honey Bee Effect

Last week the weather was extremely warm, over 20 degrees from normal temperatures that one would expect in January. I had my window open and a honey bee flew in through my patio door. After buzzing around me I gently urged him to go back home and out through the patio door he went. The Market Media Matrix has been running over time with optimistic news of earnings and the falling price of natural gas. The case for my honey bee flying into the window was higher temperatures recorded ever in the month of January. Traders who were betting on a typical cold January have been suffering from the weather effects caused by the honey bee. Since the weather has been unusual, the financial markets are also confused. The honey bee must have thought it was spring time and he went out the hive to work hard for the honey. Later that week, it began to rain and turn colder. It rained so much; we had flood warnings in the surrounding counties. By Monday morning, the rain had turned to snow with freezing temperatures. Then by Thursday, the snow was gone. We expect the same weather pattern for the weekend, rain, followed by snow. I can make the comparison to the financial markets. First we had decreasing oil and natural gas prices, followed by a sharp reversal of the prices. While price reversals may seem random, investors and traders are being caught in the financial turmoil of rising inflation.

However, these events are not random and neither is the honey bee travel route. You see honey bees communicate with other members of the hive through a complex series of dance movements. Scientists have discovered what the movements mean through observation of the bees in their hives. The financial market seem random to the casual investor, especially the long term investors, but there is a method to the random events. There are bull market seasons and there are bear market seasons. The repeating cycle financial markets cannot be denied due to human nature. Today, our world is connected through the internet not unlike the biblical days of Babylon. The Market Media Matrix tries to assume the queen bee position, dictating what everyone should think about everything. Fortunately, our brains are slightly larger than a honey bee’s. But, I still have my doubts after reading that 11% of the voters think that Hillary Clinton is a conservative according to a recent poll. Short term expectations are being used to convince you that we are in a bull market season. Meanwhile, the long term trend is in a bear market season that cannot be denied even by the Market Media Matrix. I have proclaimed that the secular bear market is here to stay, so if you want to make money, you have to play. You can’t “buy and hold” or your profits will dry up before you are old.

Look at the chart in the blogs post, I can show you the secular markets in action using a long term chart on gold vs. the Dow Jones Index. You can clearly see when gold prices rise, inflation is not far behind. Inflation fear will be exacerbated by the Fed when it raises interest rates higher. The market will continue its honey bee dance downward, just as in the last secular bear market starting in 1966 to 1984. There will be many opportunities for spectacular short term bull rallies of 50% to 100% gains, while the market is locked into a trading range below 12,000 points on the Dow Jones Index.

The Harmonic Stock Clock is the easiest trading system to use, and yet there will be people who think it is too easy. Just as no one can predict the weather, just the time of the seasons, the Harmonic Stock Clock system will help you protect your profits and make you money. The financial markets are like the honey bee, out early looking for honey, not knowing when spring begins. I just hope that most people who read this will take shelter before the financial markets turn colder.

Good luck,

God Bless

Doc

Ps. The Fed is raising capital for a possible market event over the next 3 days?
http://www.ny.frb.org/markets/omo/dmm/temp.cfm

Deflation was the Game, not Inflation.

2006-01-05T07:24:00.000-08:00

Deflation was the Game, not Inflation.

Brief Market history Till 2000

The Federal Reserve has always been behind the curve when determining interest rates. Ever since Alan Greenspan’s “irrational exuberance” remark in (1996 or 1994?)
the economy has been suffering from deflation. Meanwhile, the Fed was stepping on the gas by raising interest rates, then alternating putting on the brakes. Chairman Greenspan’s could not comprehend the massive productivity shift that had been sweeping throughout the world’s economy with the advent of the internet. You cannot have inflation when commodity prices are declining. The Feds was concerned about Y2K computer bug, Indonesia currency crisis, and hedge fund crisis in 1998. While falling prices are great for the consumer, our nation cannot survive composed of consumers only. The industrial capacity for this nation reached a 36 year low during the last bear market. The massive job shifting from industrial economy to a service economy disrupted many baby boomers income throughout the mid 1990’s. However, the Fed began lowering rates in 2001, exacerbating this deflationary period and creating a housing bubble. The housing bubble was created after the stock market began to fall precipitously, even before the 911 event. As investors realize their mistakes of the “buy and hold” mentality, they became more concerned with “nesting their nest eggs into the real estate market.”

Most demographic trends begin in two primary states, California and Florida; these two states will determine the future outcome of the rest of the nation. California has greatest number of illegal immigrants, highest cost of living, and highest state income taxes. Florida sets the future trend because it is a reflection of the retiring baby boomers wants and needs. What happens in these two states will define the future of America. The decline in real estate prices will begin in California first, followed by the northeastern states and lastly in Florida.

The First Bear Market Cycle
The housing bubble was being inflated by changing the laws in real estate with the elimination of long term capital gains on home sales of primary residences. This long term capital gains elimination on primary residences is seldom referred to becoming the primary inflation factor in real estate prices. The savvy real estate buyer could receive tax free capital gains, up to million dollars, simply by living in a home as a primary residence for 2 out of the last 5 years. Using the new capital gains law, many home owners bought bigger homes, cashing in on 30% appreciation or more of those homes every 2-3 years. The capital gains were free; you didn’t have to buy another home to keep the gains tax free. You could take the tax free gains to start a business or invest in the market. I know of several people who started out buying homes for $200k then sold it after 2 year for $300K or more. The 100k tax free gain was used to buy another home in a fast appreciating neighborhood. Now they are selling their homes again with as much as $200k in tax free capital gains. However, time is running out on these large tax free capital gains due to the Fed raising interest rates. The housing bubble precipices are in the northeast and the west in the U.S.. Many home owners will see their paper profits disappear as the average home prices depreciates. There were on 13 homes listed for sale valued at over 1 million dollars at the start of the bear market. Now the number of homes for sale valued at over 1 million dollars are in the thousands. The laws of supply and demand will sweep through the real estate market, just as it has done before in the 80‘s The falling real estate prices will hit those homes which have appreciated the most in the northeast and western parts of the country.. The shocks to the home owner may be slow to realize as the Fed raises interest rates higher. California has the highest average home prices at $500k per home, deflating the housing bubble will begin there first and sweep throughout the country.

The bond players are being suckers for the next wave of inflation which will be sweeping through the economy by mid 2006. Meanwhile the brokerage profits and bonuses are at an all time high due to churning of portfolios, the money managers are trying to beat the indices with short term program trading tactics. These short term program trading tactics can manipulate the stock market to appearing normal. Last week, we have had the highest level of program trading since Sept.16th this year, with 65% of the volume of trades on the NYSE. The market may or may not sell off in January, while the hedge fund manager will be able to quietly sell or buy stocks using their leverage in the futures contracts. That is why, currently the Russell 2000 index is the best performing indices once again after 3 years of a bull market. The russ2k small cap stocks are easily manipulated by using the futures contracts, causing hedge fund managers to match the index. The fact that a majority of the stocks within the Russell 2000 companies are owned by large institutional investors has caused this benchmark to outperform the other large cap indexes. The hedge funds (8000 of them) can use the futures contract to move the stocks higher in the Russell 2000 index through market arbitrage. The hedge funds are playing an arbitrage game with the index and the other stocks are moving up in sympathy with these stocks. It is a game to them, simply numbers with dollar signs through program trading. The long term market trend is a secular bear market. As history proves correctly in the past, secular bear markets have short term bull rallies to keep “hope alive” for the long term investor.

Boomers are the unknown factor in this secular bear market; they are turning 60 and running out of time. The boomers have the majority of their net worth tied up into their 401(k) plans and their real estate holdings. The last cyclical bear market began in 2000 and ended in 36 months, in March of 2003. The boomers witnessed the first of 6 bear market cycles that evaporated 9 trillion dollars of wealth in the stock market. People had borrowed money from their pension plans to invest in the stock market and they were burned in the last bear market. Those who didn’t borrow money to play the stock market did borrow money from their homes, like a personal ATM machine. They were betting their homes would appreciate faster than the stock market had during the cyclical bear market over the last 3 years. Since the market drifted lower from -40 to -85% in the NASDAQ, people begin buying homes, instead of putting money into the market. This left the door open for massive program trading and hedge fund managers to easily manipulate the indexes through futures and stock arbitrage. The market can only be fair and balanced with large numbers of retail investors, not big hedge funds and institutional investors. The Fed created the stock market bubble only to make it crash by raising interest rates 5 years ago. Then the Fed lowered rates, despite signs of deflation in an effort to save the market. The Fed was behind the curve and failed to save the stock market. But I don’t think they were ever trying to save the stock market, they were protecting the bond market. The Fed created tremendous wealth for the bond market with the help of falling interest rates and the “carry trade” in the bond market. The Fed, after lowering the interest rates to 40 year lows began to raise rates to slow down an inflating economy. Now, the Fed is continuing raising interest rates and fanning the flames of inflation. The Federal Reserves is desperate to keep up the illusion of a strong economy. By the time the Fed stops raising rates, the economy will begin to deflate the housing bubble. The Fed is creating a stealth inflation bubble, just like they did in the last secular bear market in 1966 to 1984. The secular bear markets begin with deflation and devaluation of stock prices in the first half of the 18 year market cycle. The second half of the secular bear market causes a stealth inflation bubble as commodity, energy, and as bond rates go higher.

Remembering 40 years ago, what was happening in the stock market? The year 1966 marked the market’s highs, and the market was locked into a long 18 year bear market. Looking at my charts on the web site you can see the secular markets. The first 5 years was a deflationary period until the 70’s, and then we had high inflationary periods of time. If you remember those times, we are going to repeat those cycles once again. Now, you would think the Federal Reserve would be able to see market cycles right? However, since the creation of the Federal Reserve in 1913, they have not stopped one recession nor prevented any inflation bubble. If during this next bear market cycle, the stock market and the real estate market both decline, what do you think will happen?

Now, don’t hate the messenger, there are a ways to make money in declining markets and ways to protect your portfolio, but it involves you to learn a few new trading secrets first. While the days of the “buy and hold” strategy are long gone, since 2000, you will have to learn technical analysis.

2006 Outlook

The major problems I see for 2006 is the informational synergy between the advertisers and the major news channels. The Market Media Matrix is the synergy between advertisers, news media, and the financial consequences of the information. The speed at which we receive true and false information is defined by the tragedy in West Virginia in 2006. Who can you trust to give you information which is not biased based on their advertising revenue? The tragedy in West Virginia was caused by the news media’s attempt to boost advertising revenue competing with the “24 hour” news cycle. The Market Media Matrix is infecting our society by bringing tragedy and triumph of the smallest details of people’s lives. Everyone wants their 15 minutes of fame. Thanks to the Market Media Matrix everyone will have their fame or shame for 15 minutes.

Looking at the stock charts over the weekend, I see that most stocks have not appreciated as much as the Market Media Matrix would have you believe. The television commercials advocate becoming an “active investor” searching for the next teenage fad in blue jeans and running shoes. Theses adds, re-enforce the concept that the individual can discover something that is a “secret” or not known to the majority of shareholder. The majority of these moves in stock prices are based off technical indicators, such as the 50 day moving average or 200 day moving average. You can see these technical indicators on many charts. The purpose is to buy low and sell higher. The Market Media Matrix convinces you there is some ““undiscovered” information concerning companies which are not known by those who have more money at risk than you. The trend is your friend, but who defines the trend? Can one person define a trend? If everyone is selling a stock, despite some hidden good news secret, a loss of 25% is still a loss. I have watched people buy on the dips, even if those dips are lower lows. These people have tried averaging down in declining markets, sometimes into bankruptcy. To compound the problem of loosing money, a loss of 25% will need a gain of 33% to break even. Even worse, is riding a stock down by 50%, then you will need a 100% gain just to break even.

I cannot understand the concept of “buy and hold”, unless it a human need to justify your ego in proving that some day you will be right. The only justifications for the “buy and hold” investors are a hopefully higher prices and bragging rights. The Pavlov conditioning ads are proving themselves profitable to the Wall Street brokerage houses bottom line through churning and commissions through program trading. Don’t fall into the trap of thinking like a collector of stamps, coins, or baseball cards. The Market Media Matrix efforts to bolster stock prices higher continue the cycle of Pavlov’s conditioning to “find” a stock to own. Hey, you don’t get paid to own a stock, chose to buy carefully!

There are two dominant forces in today’s market matrix, both are fear.

The traditional tug of war between greed and fear is not clear in today’s market. Where there should be fear of losing money, there is none, and greed is replaced by fear of missing the next rally. There is no concept of greed, stock prices should go up everyday and never go down, according the Market Media Matrix. Just look at Google’s stock price, reminds me of the tech bubble in the NASDAQ, every high price encourages more people to buy at even higher prices. No company, not even Google, deserves more than a P/E ratio of 10. The market continues to climb higher and higher to the moon. When stock prices fall, there are many excuses and befuddled looks on the Market Media Matrix teleprompter’s faces. The need to continue this charade is dependent upon new money being invested in the same stock stories recycled year after year. The charade of earning reports and conference calls are to convince you to commit more money into the market.

Meanwhile the Market Media Matrix (brokers, media, and advertises) continue to make money. There are never any warnings to sell on Wall Street, because their fear is cash. You may not “buy” anything and their personal pocketbooks depend upon commissions. Did anyone warn you about the last bear market? The Harmonic Stock Clock users knew the bear market was coming. The Harmonic Stock Clock’s cycles and signal lines flashed the warning signs of the next bear market.

The general public’s apathetic view of the stock market has been conditioned by those on Wall Street. People have been conditioned to “buy and hold” stocks, just shrug their shoulders and say, “oh well, the market will go back up.”Well, things change and people should be flexible enough to know when things change. Cognitive Pricing Reminiscence is your innate ability to see through the charade of split adjusted charting systems. In fact, according to my charts, The Dow index has posted its smallest change in 109 years. The long term investor will be hurt over the next few months of trading unless he has a plan for the next bear market. It has been 5 years since the market hit all time highs. The clock is running on the baby boomer generation to show a profit in their retirement accounts. Given the massive conditioning response for these investors over the last 20 years, any sell offs may be supported with massive infusion of capital which may be sitting on the sidelines. If you are using the Harmonic Stock Clock, you will not have to make a prediction for the future, you just have to follow the signal lines. The market will move higher or lower depending on too many variables to worry about. The market worries include, inflation, energy cost, earning projections, consumer consumption continuing, General Motors’ fate, commodity prices, currency crisis, real estate boom or bust, bond funds bailout, pension plan defaults, baby boomers greed or fear, a new Fed chairman, bird flu pandemic, and lastly, geopolitical events. The market needs a “wall of worry” to climb higher, not a mountain of worry. You financial fate over these turbulent months will be your hands to learn technical analysis.

It hard to believe those days were only 5 years ago…
When at this time of year, red eyed day traders were full of cheer
And their trading accounts had no fear.
They couldn‘t wait to hear the morning bell,
Only to hold for hours, then to sell.
They drove prices higher and higher,
Leaving the short sellers and the bears dryer.
Later that year, the bears and short sellers were the ones to fear,
As the markets sold off, year after year.
In 2003, when all hope was gone and there was nothing but fear,
Everyone climbed aboard the money train with cheer.
Like all bull markets, investors have no fear,
“Buy, buy, buy and hold“, is all they hear.
When Greenspan raises the alarm,
Investors believe they cannot be harmed.
Meanwhile, secular markets will continue churn,
As Harmonic Clock investors have learned.
There is no such thing as buy and hold,
By the time you earn a profit, you will be old.
Follow the Harmonic signal lines and save time,
So you can retire early with plenty of wine.
Pick up a copy of “The Harmonic Stock Clock” before it is too late,
Over the next 3 months, technical analysis will prove to be great!

Investing by fundamental analysis and using “buy and hold” strategy only works in secular bull markets. The choice is yours. If you have read this far, you are above average and deserve to have contingency plan in place when the bear market strikes again. See Sample Charts.

-----------------------------------------------

To help you with start off the New Year profitable, I have discounted the Harmonic Stock Clock book by 30% and have included 10 free bonus books to help you make smart investment decisions. You will also have 1 month free access to my “chicken straddle options and stock picks” to maximize your profits. The free bonus books are

Discovering Who You Are
Psychology of Trading
Day trading Mindset
Emotional Free Trading
Psychology of Trading
Winning Psychology
Forex short Trend Trading
Market Profile Basics
Intro to Candlestick Charts
Candlestick Charting Basics
Basic Fibonacci Principles
The Harmonic Stock Clock
Plus over 160 of my personal trading charts with notes on
Buy and sell signals on the Dow and E mini
Notice, I have included books on the psychology of trading because the difference between trading and investing is only time. The trader’s time horizon is minutes to days, while the investor’s time frame my by months to years. The mental skills needed for day trading are the same skills needed for long term investing. There is always a battle in your mind about making the right decisions to buy, or sell, and that is where 90% of the traders and investors fail. Investments are a bigger gamble on than day trading. Did you read that right? I said investments are a bigger gamble than day trading! Short term traders will know within minutes if they are right about a trend. Unfortunately, long term investors will not realize if they are right for months, years, and decades! If you have a “buy and hold” mentality, you are truly gambling on the future because things are constantly changing. Just looking at the past performances of stocks 5 years ago and how they have performed in a bear market The missed opportunity of time for investors is the biggest gamble of all.

To receive the special package of trading
and investing tools for 2006 click here:

God Bless
Doc

Hurry, this special pricing is only limited to 50 new orders only!

Face Off: Foolish Fed vs. Faithful Bull

2005-10-31T12:16:00.000-08:00

Face Off: Foolish Fed vs. Faithful Bull

The Federal Reserve, (Alcazar) will once again raise rates to curb inflationary fears spurred by high energy prices, unsustainable consumer spending, and un controllable government deficit spending. The Alcazar will give the stock market Bulls the “dirty dozen” rate hikes over the last 12 months, and they will probably continue to raise the prime rate as long as they see inflation on the horizon. In my article called “the Fed is not your friend”, (Jan 3, 2004) http://finance.groups.yahoo.com/group/docsstockclock/ message 504
I stated a fact about the Federal Reserve, they could care less what the faithful bulls want! Yet, I cannot understand the loyalty attributed to the Foolish Fed by the faithful bulls. Every money manager on Wall Street has the Fed’s play book, which says, you can’t expect new market highs when the Fed is raising interest rates. It has never happened, since higher interest rates cause long term capital withdrawal from the stock market. As interest rates move higher, stocks become less attractive to long term stock investors. Meanwhile bond interest rates increase, causing inflation and higher deficit spending by the government. Given a choice between a 6% return on the bond, or a 4% return on a stock, most will choose bonds. Bottom line, as the Foolish Fed raises interest rates, stocks will fall. No one knows at what point in time or what level of interest rate hikes will kill the desire to invest in stocks, but surely we are moving close to the breaking point than farther away. When the Foolish Fed was fighting inflation, (or was it deflation ,2001?), they killed the market faithful bull with rate hikes. Then after 9/11 attack, began a series of aggressive rate cuts, driving down the prime rate to a record low of .75%, making stocks attractive with their 3-4% earnings based on the S&P 500 index. The foolish Fed’s aggressive interest rate cuts caused a housing bubble, compounded with favorable tax treatment of long term capital gains treatment on the sale of a primary residence. If you were not aware of the change in long term capital gains treatment for homes, you have probably not sold a home over the last 5 years. If you had sold your home, you would have no taxes on your long term capital gains. The law was changed so that you can keep all the long term capital gains on a sale of a primary residence, as long as you lived in the home for 2 out of the last 5 years. There is no requirement to buy another home, nor any age restrictions, nor any one time exclusions, you were free to buy and sell 2 homes every 5 years as your primary residence. Upon the sale of these homes, all long term capital gains were excluded from taxes. Hence, the value of homes begin appreciating in double digits, just like the stock market double digit gains before the bubble collapsed. Some aggressive home buyers, have bought 2 homes within those 5 years, each time making substantial long term capital gains when selling the home, without paying any taxes. Recently, Greenspan warned of the creative financing of some of these homes with adjustable rate mortgages, piggy back mortgages, and interests only mortgages, which could back fire on the lenders. You see, the Foolish Fed is only concerned about banking, not about the faithful bulls, so if the mortgage lenders get into financial trouble with defaulting loans, guess who will be paying for collapse? That’s right, you the tax payer through FDIC insurance bailout. Some people may remember the savings and loan bailout, I hate to mention names, but at the center of that controversy wasn’t there a “Bush”.

The short term traders view of this market is great! The program trading gurus are keeping the market afloat using my harmonic stock clock signals lines, buying at just the right opportunity, and shorting the stocks at my resistance lines, doubling up on their profits. Meanwhile, the smaller short term swing trader are paying the costs with trading commisions and equity draw downs in their accounts. The wild swings in the indices were caused by the large money managers creating a opportunity by going long at key harmonic stock clock levels with the small investors and trader jumping on the bandwagon trying to catch the updraft one day, then taking the pain pill the next day. If you had been following the Harmonic Stock Clock signal lines, you could see the explosive buying activity as the indices crossed the green daily signal line, only to collapse when hitting the yellow executioner line. Since, 10-19-05, for the Dow index, the S&P500 index, there have been six major moves across the green signal line. There have been rejection of the yellow or red signal lines for shorting opportunities. As I am writing this on Monday morning, the faithful bulls playing their Trump cards, “Merger Monday”. I would challenge anyone to find me 1 stock who’s stock price is higher after the merger. I don’t know of any stock, so if you know of one, let me know in the comment section of this blog.

Why do mergers fail for shareholders? It is a simple tactic to hide the accounting trash that has accumulate with both company’s books, and after the merger, the company will site earning failure due to merging costs and one time earning exclusion charges. Yet, the faithful bulls believe in “cost savings”, “expanding markets“, “market share,” which is the same tired mantra perma bulls always use to create excitement for the un-informed investors.

Over the next few months, there will be a thanksgiving rally, and a Santa Clause rally, after all, the markets wouldn’t want to disappoint the faithful bulls. Although, these are called rallies, they will not set any new market highs, and the trading range will continue until next year. By the first of the year, the heating bills, the Christmas shopping season, and the higher interest rates will be weighing on the consumer, which could make for an explosive opportunity for those who are using the Harmonic Stock Clock indicators.

Good luck
God Bless
Doctrader

Harmonic Stock Clock extends Sale Price

2005-10-12T23:25:00.000-07:00

Harmonic Stock Clock extends Sale Price

Due to the massive number of book orders, I have decided to extend the final sale days until this weekend. I have been trading during the day watching if the news with amusement of the cheerleaders' faces as they report another down day in the market. The hedge fund managers are keeping the market sell off orderly and controlled. I expect that on Thursday, they will find some "good news" to make the market climb higher, by a simple "short covering" rally. The hedge fund managers can't have a sell off on Thursday, that will lead to margin calls, something they don't want to see happen. Browsing through my emails today I am hearing a common theme among the new letters. Here is the common theme: Toby Smith, changewave.com want investors to buy. (TobySmith@ChangeWave.com
Doug Fabian wants investors to raise cash. http://www.dougfabian.com
Richard Shaeferr wants you to read "extraordinary Delusions and the madness of Crowds". http://www.schaeffersresearch.com
Louis Navellier wants you go think global markets not the u.s. markets.
Krammer on Mad Money, said to go to Japanese stock market for superior growth over the U.S. markets.

News Max Headlines
“GM in Grave Danger: Delphi Chief The CEO of newly bankrupt Delphi Corp., Steve Miller, insists that General Motors Delphi's biggest customer - will be forced into bankruptcy unless the auto giant can get the United Auto Workers union to make considerable wage and benefit concessions, according to Bloomberg.

SectorTrade Subscribers Up 41.2%
In One Week If you have been following our commentary recently, you'll know that here at Money News and Financial Intelligence Report, we'd been bouncing around the idea that perhaps the price of crude had gotten ahead of itself. (Sidebar: Oil sector has been down on profit taking.)

Homeowners Dump ARMs for Fixed Rates
In the past, when you wanted a new home loan - or extra cash in the form of a refinance deal - you could play around with variable interest rates, secure in the knowledge that interest rates wouldn't be rising anytime soon. But that was about 11 interest rate hikes ago. (Sidebar: Congress is considering eliminating capital gains on home sellers)

Tax Pitfalls Hurt Second-Home Buyers:
Second-home purchases, with the heavy tax ramifications that accompany them, are the latest real estate sector experiencing a hangover. (Sidebar: 13% of the homes sold last year were for second homes. In California, one of the highest growth in real estate prices, a restriction of capital gains will crush the home market. The lending institutions would also falter, processing fewer loans.)

Analysts Bullish on Market
Analysts say that even though the stock market has been pummeled by natural disasters and unnatural energy prices, expectations remain bullish for the markets this week. (Sidebar: Too many analysts were bullish in 2000 also.)
$1 MILLION MORTGAGE DEDUCTIONS A THING OF THE PAST?
A recent article in the LA Times suggested that tax reformers were also foaming at the mouths to get their hands on $2.7 billion in tax revenue that would arise out of cutting the mortgage deduction ceiling from $1 million down to $500K as well as all mortgage deductions on second homes. This is an important development as many homeowners have entered into the market, especially in California, with big mortgages upwards of a million.”

Looking at the McClellan Summation Index,(telechart T2118) it is heading for the lows back in May 2005, along with the stock prices. Also the number of stocks trading above their 200 day moving averages (telechart T2107) to 43% from the high of 82% in Feb 2005.

What will these signals mean? Time will soon tell, if there is no bounce this week, the hedge funds may begin a capitulation sell off.

The stock market's horoscope says:
“Remember, if something seems too good to be true, it is -- especially with money. This isn't the right week to take financial chances, no matter how confident your advisors are. Your own instincts will tell you to hold back, anyway. Listen up. When was the last time they steered you wrong?”

How True. So I will be offering the Harmonic Stock Clock Book for the same price till this weekend. http://www.doctrader.com/harmonicclockbook.htm
I wish all the investors and traders good luck for the rest of the month.

God Bless
Doc
www.doctrader.com

Salto Mortale The Fed Speaks

2005-09-18T14:20:00.000-07:00

The FED’s Salto Mortale

Fed Speak:
The Alcalde's loony limpid linguistics and implausible infantile calculations has surgically excised the complex calculations and projections of carbohydrates and hydrocarbons.
Meanwhile, The Alcalde’s afflatus to impugn inflation, has caused an ebullient ecumenical economy effectuated by a tumescent hyperbolical housing bubble.

This week the market will wait with baited breath for the supreme afflatus to make a proclamation concerning the direction and duration of the Alcazar' future interest rates, which will have very little effect on the overall economy. As I have written before at the docstockclock group, the Fed only has a six shooter. The fed has always been behind curve when they have been raising rates or cutting rates. Looking at the Alcalde’s last statement of "risk assessment", if they continue to raise rates, there will be less harm to the economy in the in the future than deferring the next series of rate hikes and risking the economy to a 70's style misery index. Once again, afflatus has (nolens volens) painted the Alcazar into a corner, concerning the direction of interest rate hikes. If the Alcalde stays neutral, the market may perceive it as a fundamental weakness in the economy. If he continues to raise rates, the market may perceive the Alcazar is behind the curve again. If he pauses interest rate hike, the market may pause also it's irrational exuberance". I have one question for all those newsletter writers who are professional stock pickers, "if one disasters is good for the economy, how about 2 or 3 more disasters?". Shouldn't the market now be at all time highs? After all, doesn't the Alcazar just print more money to pay for the fantasy land we are living in? Yes, the hurricane season in not over until May of 2006 and the word for today is tropical depression 18, otherwise know as hurricane Rita. Just what the gulf wanted, another chance for the stock market to rally, right?

Meanwhile, the stock market fantasy land, the baby boomers fund managers are continuing to create a "tulip bulb" market with the infusion of baby boomers' 401(k) plans. The number of stocks trading above their 200 day moving average is still hovering around 67%, a figure that is beyond a healthy long term trend. The stock market has not been able to accurately discount the future due to the massive amount of program trading that has been supporting high prices. No one is concerned about an 87' crash, which led to the market to creating trading curbs. The psychology of "buy on the dips" has firmly embedded in the minds of the soon to be bindlestiffs fund managers.

The new perma-bulls continuing belief that the market will continue to go higher forever, although it has failed to reach any new all time highs since 2000! To see the irrational exuberance of our times, witness the talk about all the infusion of federal money to help the victims of Katrina, to rebuild, to create more jobs. The perma-bulls short sighted vision, the jobs to rebuild with federal inflated dollars will be a boon for all stock prices as well as the economy. They have failed to see past the next quarterly earnings reports and notice that all federal spending is nothing more than inflationary and pork barrel politics.

Katrina, says the headlines,” Katrina devastation highlights poverty of the U.S. Blacks", "Hurricane exposes issues of class, race"
"Anarchy in the USA", declared Britain's best selling newspaper "the Sun"., Apocalypse Now" headlined Germany's Handelsblatt daily. Once again, the American short sightedness of looking at the problems that any national crisis causes and not at the cure! The bureaucracy of all levels of government can never provide all things to all people. We are told by homeland security agency that everyone should prepare and emergency evacuation kit for any emergency because federal, state, and local government my not be there to help. How many people had emergency kits in Katrina’s path? The democratic news media was beating the drums of "Federal Help Now", reinforcing the expansion of government bureaucracy. Yet, despite the cry for federal government's help, you and the world witnessed the slow methodical course of a big government bureaucracy. I about fell out of my chair to hear Hilarious Clinton recommend that FEMA be removed from the government bureaucracy of the homeland security agency, and be given it's own cabinet post!

The American people were the FIRST responders, not the government bureaucracy. The charitable organizations were FIRST to bring aid, once the government bureaucracy was removed. The individual Americans, not the American government, have given to charitable organizations their time and their money to help, were FIRST!
No government agency was need to confiscate (ie. taxes) their gifts of time and money.

The real challenges facing this nation is to eliminate the government bureaucracy at all levels. That lesson should be the only message given to the American people.
Katrina unmasked the maximum level of incompetence of a government bureaucracy.

Yet, I feel that message will not be told, will not be learned, and nothing will change with the next disaster. I feel that it an insurmountable task to wean the American poor people of the national feed trough. The political party of the poor cannot lose their base of support. For example: HUD has identified over 34,000 public housing units throughout America, keeping the poor in generational poverty, and might I add keeping the poor people voting for the party of the poor people within the same democratic districts?

WE THE PEOPLE, give our poor people everything, health insurance, prescription drugs, food, housing, utility assistances, etc... and all that we required from them is to vote! We have done this for over 40 years, since the "war on poverty" was embarked on by Lyndon Johnson, and yet we have created generational poor people who cannot see the vision of America. The American poor can't have the same visions of the newly arrived immigrants, because of their generational dependency on government support.

However, I see those who come to this country with nothing, and build their American dreams. The American poor people see the immigrants starting businesses in their poverty stricken areas, and they feel justified in looting, not for food or clothing, but for materialist wants and desires. To make matters worse, we have Hollywood celebrities justifying the looting and reinforcing the cry for more federal government's help.

"WE THE PEOPLE, IN ORDER TO FORM A MORE PERFECT UNION", have created the next apocalypse which could happen with T.D. 18. Yes, the hurricane season in not over until May of 2006. T.D. 18 will be named hurricane Rita, and it may cause the Alcalde to salto motale. Take any major city in America, turn off the electricity, gas, and water for 3 days and see what happens. Massive amount of poor Americans huddled together in small democratic districts in every major city. Yet, who comes to their aid first? Not those who’s political careers are dependent on the poor, but those Americans who are not dependent on the government feed trough.

Michael Savage
has the perfect solution to help those displaced by Katrina, and it doesn't cost a dime in federal money. His solution also breaks the poverty zone by distributing poor Americans around to the country. But since there is no "kickbacks" to the local, state, and federal politicians, his plan will never be enacted. Instead of relocating the poor to military bases which are scheduled to close, which already has an infrastructure of schools, housing, and government recourses, costing us, the tax payers, much less than the figures we are being quoted. We, the u.s. tax payers are being told to re-create the poverty utopia in the same location that mother nature cleansed! You have to ask yourself a rational question, “ Is there a direct correlation between the political party of "the poor people" to maintain it’s status by keeping the majority of the poor people in the gerrymandering zones? Ah, you say, there is a political agenda when it comes to maintaining political power. Maybe, just maybe, if the poor people were relocated and redistributed among the hard working American people, the poor people could become self resilient and not dependant upon political hand outs.

During the last federal election, you can see the self reliant spirit in the red area's of the country and those who want government help in the blue areas of the country. (by states)
(by counties)

The American poor people, WITHOUT A VISION FOR A BETTER FUTURE ARE DESTINED TO FAIL. The American poor people’s democratic party continues to keep them in a poverty stricken mind set, that they cannot do anything without the political help. These politicians, are the poverty pimps. They want increase their ranks by every high school drop out, every drug user, ever un-skilled worker, every new child that is born to without a stable family structure. If you listen to the poverty pimps who are keeping you in financial bondage for the last 40 years, your future is doomed. America’s shining future is doomed also, because we cannot continue to support your life style on the backs of the American tax payers. Sure, things won’t be easy, you will have to work hard, study hard, live by society rules and laws, just as every American does without taking from the federal feed trough.

The New American Vision must be led by positive leadership and not by the strong arm of the law nor the weak kneed liberal handout. We, in the lifeboat called America, need the positive contributions from those who have only taken from our the government feed trough. In order to form a more perfect union, we need all of our citizens to advance through the ranks of poverty, to the middle class, and upward with a pioneering spirit that all things are possible without the government’s help! There are good positive leaders who rely on self resiliency. These good leaders do not blame government for it's short failings. The good leader's do not rely on reciprocity from a political party who claims they represent the poor. The good leaders are those who offer a solution to the on going problems of poverty, without blaming government for it’s short fallings.

To be ahead of the curve in the future, we need to rekindle that self reliant pioneering spirit in all American, rich and poor!

God Bless

Doc

LEPIDOPTERA SECUNDUM part II

2005-08-28T11:13:00.000-07:00

LEPIDOPTERA SECUNDUM part II

By Doctrader

Is seams ironic that unique names do mean something. Katrina is shaping up to be one of the biggest and costliest hurricanes of this century. The butterfly (lepidoptera) effect could be the straw that breaks the camel’s back of the U.S. economy. I take notice that the “Alcalde” is far away from the storm in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. Last week in “The Butterfly Effect” , and in the Alcalde’s speech a few days ago, the ability to predict the future effects on economic condition are limited. The Fed is using risk assessment, to determine costs vs. rewards when gauging economical policies. The Federal Reserve Banking system was designed to weave crinoline into the patch work financial system to soften the blows of recessions and depressions. Yet, I contend, “bon gre’, mal gre’” (willingly or not), more harm, more uncertainly, has been created by the Alcalde from creating disquietude with his disquisitions and proclamations. The Federal Reserve Banking system assumes the role of risk management, weighing outcomes, without considering the “homme moyen sensuel” (the average man on the streets).

For example: The stock market bubble created by the innovations and the abundant liquidity trap that was allowed to build creating a tulip bulb calamity within the NASDAQ market place. Yet earlier in the 1990‘s, the Alcalde cried “irrational exuberance” when human nature drove the indices to higher ground, well below the precipice of 2000. Yet, after the market exceeding the “irrational exuberance” comment, the Alcalde revised his expectations of the future lofty levels by saying he failed to account for the productivity curve. Following the decimation of the NASDAQ market, the Federal Reserve entered into a series of aggressive interest rate cuts, creating trillions for the bank board members with failing bond rates. Meanwhile, disencumbering millions of small investors of 9 trillion of paper profits. The member banks, begin to shift their new found wealth with in the form of real estate to finish the coup de gra on the middle class. The new bankruptcy laws that will be in effect in October, have guaranteed the member banks to inherit most of the real estate, should there be an economic collapse. One thing that never changes, there will be, by human nature, another economic collapse caused by the butterfly effect.
Last week, the stock market continued it’s slow and measured decent below the signal lines on the daily chart. There are several reasons for a slow decent, one is that of massive program trading, which continues above 50% level. The high level of program trading indicates big money managers slow taking profits and buying portfolio protection. The second reason, is most active traders have been on vacation during the month of August. This may soon change, as Katrina builds more energy with the emerging sunspots and possible solar flares dump more energy into the earth’s biome. The end of the month window dressing for mutual funds, who do not want to hold onto their laggards during September may begin to raise cash for emergencies and contingencies related to Katrina.

The McClellan Summation Index continue its downward slope.

My trend indicator indicates 205 stocks of the sp500 are trading below the floor. While the percentage of stocks trading above their 200 day m.a. is at 63% Since this cyclical bull market begin in March 03, the percentage of stock trading above their 200 dma has ranged from 25% to 90%, reaching its precipice exactly 1 year later in march 04. The March 04 precipice followed the fibonacci retracement of 50% to exactly 45% of the stocks trading above their 200 dma. I posted the charts in the club site. Those who have studied the fibonacci numbers can see the significance of the numbers and what the future may hold.

If you are a long term holder of stock, have you bought insurance yet on your portfolio? What?! You didn’t know you could purchase insurance against catastrophic losses? You think the Federal government will come to your aid like the victims of Katrina? Did the Federal government or agency come to your aid when the NASDAQ market fell? What has changed since then? If a rising tide lift all boats in the stock market, then what does a sinking boat offer?

So how can your protect your portfolio with insurance? You have to purchase put options, which will offer you some protection against catastrophic market collapse by increasing in values as stocks prices fall. The CBOT offers for free, and excellent option software and training program, which you can use to determine how to protect your portfolio against losses and to maximize your portfolio with income in stable markets. I have post a link at the free club yahoo users group, docsstockclock.

God Bless,
Doctrader

Alcazar is saluting the retiring Alcalde

2005-08-27T23:41:00.000-07:00

Alcazar is saluting the retiring Alcalde

The Alcazar is saluting the retiring Alcalde. The master chemist of disquisition has been at the helm for almost 20 years, creating disquietude, while crocheting crinoline in the world's economic biome. His inevitably incomplete knowledge and cognitive dissonance has become the epergne of world wide recognition. His alchemy of a structured and stable economy for the un-informed masses, has created many economic precipices during his reign. The abundant liquidity in the housing market, the stock market, the bond market has caused ephemeral illusions of wealth. The croupier hesitancy and lack of resolve to solve the looming fiscal problems will reward those members at his table while causing others to join the exponentially growing class of bindle stiffs.

Here are some disturbing excepts from the master of creating disquietude.

“Given our inevitably incomplete knowledge about key structural aspects of an ever-changing economy and the sometimes asymmetric costs or benefits of particular outcomes, the paradigm on which we have settled has come to involve, at its core, crucial elements of risk management. “

“Such an increase in market value is too often viewed by market participants as structural and permanent. To some extent, those higher values may be reflecting the increased flexibility and resilience of our economy. But what they perceive as newly abundant liquidity can readily disappear. Any onset of increased investor caution elevates risk premiums and, as a consequence, lowers asset values and promotes the liquidation of the debt that supported higher asset prices. This is the reason that history has not dealt kindly with the aftermath of protracted periods of low risk premiums.”

“Fear of change is also reflected in a hesitancy to face up to the difficult choices that will be required to resolve our looming fiscal problems.”

“If we can maintain an adequate degree of flexibility, some of America's economic imbalances, most notably the large current account deficit and the housing boom, can be rectified by adjustments in prices, interest rates, and exchange rates rather than through more-wrenching changes in output, incomes, and employment.”

“Whether the currently elevated level of the wealth-to-income ratio will be sustained in the longer run remains to be seen.”

Speech by Chairman Alan Greenspan
Reflections on central banking

God Bless
Doctrader

The Butterfly Effect

2005-08-17T00:32:00.000-07:00

The Butterfly Effect.

Being ahead of the curve means that sometimes you have to exercise patients. Six months ago I wrote about program trading and it effects on the market. Nothing has changed with over 50% of the daily volume ruled by program trading. Today market commentary mentioned program trading as the cause for the triple digit drop in the market. I warned long term investors about the “IDES of MARCH“, which happens on 3-8-04 thru 3-24-04 causing the sp500 index to drop 69 points and the Dow index to drop 671 points.
While some would say program trading was the cause, why isn’t program trading to blame for inflating the market? The precipitous drop only violated the 50 day moving averages in 2004. Meanwhile, there was ample support at the 200 day moving averages for the market to recover the lost ground in 2004

This year, 2005, program trading is still ruling the market. During the IDES of MARCH, the Dow dropped only 493. The sp500 dropped only 53 points. Unlike 2004, this market continued it’s drop hugging the 200 day moving average for 9 more days, then dropping another 3% for the sp500 and 4% for the Dow. The FED is still behind the curve, always, still raising interest rates. Alan is playing his clarinet keeping the market bubble from popping until his retirement. Oil has broken the $65 a barrel price tag, gold is climbing higher and the CBOE’s Vix is breaking above the 200 day moving average. I have watched the Fed’s “plunge protection team” supporting the market with buying sp500 futures, causing the market to miraculously rebound from a losing session to preserve the “technical indicators”.

Today’s FED plunge protection team couldn’t save the market today, and maybe they won’t save the market until September comes along. I know the market is very choppy with computer program trading buying and selling, base only on the number of points in the indicies. There is definitely a lack of retail buyers in the market, a sure sign that we could be heading for a 1987 crash. Notice how we have not hit the trading curbs like we did often in 98, 99, and 2000? You know why? Program trading is restricted to less than 10k shares and that will cause these money managers to be locked out of the market. If you are a money manager sitting on a million shares, it will take a long time to sell those shares only selling 9999 shares at time. You also can’t buy and extra million shares to dollar cost average your holding when the market has hit the curbs. The NYSE has some interesting stats if you have time to dig around in this massive site. The important link is this one if you are day trading or a long term investor. program trading
So a butterfly flaps it’s wings in Venezuela, causing a tropical storm to become a hurricane, heading for the oil wells in the gulf, oil prices skyrocket with labor day, back to school, and northeast heating oil production begins siphoning off limited supply of gasoline. Meanwhile, the Fed will hike interest rates another quarter point, causing massive re-financing, home prices dropping, banks margins get smaller like 1929, and so on….

Or the butterfly dies because of the pesticides they are spraying to kill the west Nile virus, there are no more tropical storms, we strike oil in Anwar and the caribou population explodes to record level due to the warm pipeline which keeps them warm in the cold winters. Iraqi vote for a constitution, and there begin pumping and dumping more oil in the market causing oil price to plummet to $30 a barrel. Intel invents a completely new chip, make all computers obsolete. There is a national sales tax and not income taxes, stocks begin to pay dividends, because earnings mean nothing if you are a long term holder stocks unless they pay you for your loyalty. Program trading will be banned, illegal immigrants will buy your parents homes for double their current value, causing a new baby boomer generation of Spanish speaking citizens. There will be peace and prosperity in the middle east.

Or….????

God Bless

Doc
www.doctrader.com

Ahead of the Political Curve

2004-09-20T15:00:00.000-07:00

Ahead of the Political Curve

It is that time of year, when market volatility and political volatility will compound the problem of finding a safe harbor for your long term investment choices.
The American political season kicked off with John Kerry basing his whole presidential bid on his short 4 months of active duty in the military over 3 decades ago. I was wondering what John Kerry did while he was a senator for the last 3 decades? Can anyone tell me? As if that was not enough to say he served in combat, there is now a question of his creative writing ability, and some www.swiftvets.com seemed to recall a different John F. (free fire zone) Kerry. Now there are many other social issues to discuss, other than what happened 3 decades ago, but the democrats have decided it was best to keep the John F. (flip flop) Kerry’s war record on the front page. His testimony before congress in the 70’s and on television, clearly denying the “honor, duty, service, and morality of the hundreds of thousands of soldiers who served in Vietnam, still have a moderately close race with the incumbent.

The next helping hand from the liberal media was to rehash President Bush’s National Guard service. Can’t the democrats sing a new tune, or do they believe that singing the same tune day after day until those undecided voters begin to believe there is something wrong with joining the National Guard. In August 03, John F. (flip flop) Kerry said he would double the number of troops in Iraq, now he says he would end the war in 6 months without doubling the number of troops. The liberal news media tried this month to denigrate President Bush’s National Guard record again by discovering “secret memos” from un-collaborated sources. CBS’s Dan Blather has more froth on his face, and is vowing to stand behind these fraudulent documents, which they insist are valid. The best quote of the week is John F. (free lance fiction writer) Kerry says he has secret documents from President Bush about the future escalation of troops in Iraq after the election. Can you say “Watergate,” John F. (foolish) Kerry?

In other market news, the NYSE program trading is manipulating the market, while the scalpers are making a killing in the Oil futures. The world wide political fallout of our presidential election and that of a Free Iraq will determine the future of most stock, bond, and future investments. If you are not using my Harmonic Stock Clock signals, you will be left out of some spectacular profits from October’s volatility. We are at the end of the short term cyclical bull market, 18 months starting in March 03. The next market cycle coming is a cyclical bear market, lasting 9-18 months, with a possible correction of 45% over the next 6 months. If you are long term passive investor, there are steps you need to take before you become a depressed passive investor. The first step is to buy your copy of Doc’s Harmonic Stock Clock”, there will be many challenges facing our country over the next 6 months. You will either make money following the Harmonic Stock Clock signal lines or you will loose money. The choice is yours, go to www.doctrader.com and get your copy of the Harmonic Stock Clock.

God Bless

Doc

http://www.freewebs.com/docsstockclock/
http://www.freewebs.com/docsstockclock/harmonicclockbook.htm
www.freewebs.com/docsstockclock.com

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Swift Boat Censorship

2004-08-18T00:00:00.000-07:00

Swift Boat Censorship!

Presidential politics are misleading on both sides. To the casual listener of the political ads, both side are telling the truth about their past leadership roles. In my opinion, there is only way to discern the truth, and that is to have an open and fair investigation of the facts, something the news media should be doing. When the news media hears of Republicans being dis honest, there is an immediate full-scale investigation by all. However, when the Democrats are accused of being dishonest, there is a casual dismissal of being bipartisan or even worse. Now if I were in the courtroom with Oprah, we have almost 300 witnesses to the illustrious John Kerry's Vietnam War record who disagree with his 13 men crew. The preponderance of the evidence should conclude that at the very least the big 5 news media outlets should at least investigate the facts. Isn't that the goal of every wannabe news reporter, "to break the Big Story", and then write a book on the subject? (Aka Bob Woodward) Now we find out that not only is the news media ignoring the "story of the century in Presidential politics", but also the story of the Swift Vets for the Truth is being censored by threat of lawsuits to the station owners who run the politic add! Yes, law suits against the station owners, not those who created the ad and want the truth know! The same Demogod attack lawyers of the DNC have turned on their very own politically correct liberal station owners. While the liberals are crying about John Aschcroft censorship, they should look in the mirror to see the real culprits of censorship! I have never witnessed such a pathetic response by those young reporters who are willing to "break the big story", than with the Swift Vets for the Truth. If these Vets are lying, as the attack lawyers and the Richest Presidential Candidate in the history are saying, why aren’t these Swift boat Veterans the target of a libel suit? Why won't the richest Presidential Candidate sign form 180 and release all his files from Vietnam? Failure of total disclosure should set off a 3 alarm fire bells for some young reporter looking to "break the big story".

Another story that is being highly censored by the champions of "free speech" is the huge story of Sandy Berger scandal.

You never herd of Sandy Berger? He was an advisor for the richest presidential candidate while he was under FBI investigation of "stealing highly classified documents" from the national archives. Sorta like the 900 FBI files that Mrs. Clinton could not find in the White House for 2 years. Just think about it, with the Watergate scandal, Mr. Dean was sentenced for 5 years just stealing 1 FBI file.

Most of you reading this post probably already have your mind made up about whom you are going to vote for. It is sad to say, those who are not reading this post are probably the deciding factor who will be president in the next election. Those 7% of the undecided voters probably; have no pension plan, don't invest in the stock market, may have 1 home or renting; want free health insurance, make less than 30k a year, and think that the rich as defined by Al Gore who make over 200k a year) should pay more income taxes.

You maybe free in America, but the news media czars of truth are keeping you in chains from the truth.

Attention all Vets, you must go to this site and Judge for yourself!
http://www.swiftvets.com

News Headlines of Interest

Reuters
US SWAPS-Spreads shrink as players doubt economy
Tuesday August 17, 6:31 pm ET

"Clients are getting concerned about the economy," said one
Headlines of interest-rate derivatives marketing. The marketer noted
that "everyone seems to think the Fed will still move in
September." Fed fund futures still show a roughly 70 percent
chance of a hike at the Sept. 21 meeting, with much depending on
the next payrolls report.

Oil Prices Set Record, Near $47 a Barrel
Tue Aug 17, 4:31 PM ET
By BRAD FOSS, AP Business Writer

WASHINGTON - Oil prices set a new record Tuesday, approaching $47 a barrel, as concerns about Iraqi and Russian output dominated markets that had been calmed a day earlier by the results of a vote in Venezuela

The travails of Russian oil-giant Yukos took a turn for the worse Tuesday after a Russian court rejected the company's attempt to suspend government efforts to collect $3.4 billion in back taxes.

Nigeria plans mission to Darfur as Sudan pledges to restore peace

Sudan's government has been accused of triggering a humanitarian crisis by arming a brutal militia, known as the Janjaweed, and sending it to attack civilian communities with suspected rebel sympathies.
The United Nations (news - web sites) reports that up to 50,000 people may have been killed and one million more put at risk of starvation or ethnic violence in the past year.

(Hint: In the eyes of the political correct news media, the term "ethnic" is usually based on religion, one being Christian and the other being Muslim)

Phoenix: Epicenter of West Nile Epidemic

1 hour, 35 minutes ago
By BETH DeFALCO, Associated Press Writer

PHOENIX - With triple-digit heat and nearly nonexistent rainfall, Phoenix seems an unlikely spot for this year's West Nile virus (news - web sites) epicenter. Yet, federal health officials say Arizona is the only state where the mosquito-borne virus is an epidemic.

Serbia Restores 19th-Century Symbols
Tue Aug 17, 3:26 PM ET
By MISHA SAVIC, Associated Press Writer

BELGRADE, Serbia-Montenegro - Serbia restored its 19th-century anthem and ancient coat of arms Tuesday, harkening back to its royal history as its people struggle with economic and social hardships.
The historic coat of arms dates to the Middle Ages and features a cross, a crown and a double-headed white eagle.

German Town Wary of U.S. Troop Pullout
Tue Aug 17, 3:21 PM ET
By DAVID McHUGH, Associated Press Writer

KITZINGEN, Germany - Hans Seitz has sold engraved pewter plates and cuckoo clocks to U.S. soldiers for years. Now he fears some of his best customers may be going if two U.S. divisions pull out of Germany.
Seitz was one of many Germans — all the way up to Defense Minister Peter Struck — who expressed regret Tuesday at the prospect that the United States will withdraw a large share of its 70,000 troops from Germany under plans announced by President Bush
Seitz is not alone. Across southern Germany, about two dozen towns and cities with major U.S. military bases face similar economic fears, though the Americans will leave only gradually.

(Hey, you are either with us or against us, your government chose not to go to war with us, so say good bye to our dollars.)

Asked if he believed Bush would pull out troops to punish Germany for its stand on Iraq, he said, "No, I can't believe that. It's the economic situation."

The town nets $1.8 million from the regional government to cover services provided to the U.S. military, not counting what goes into retailers' tills and landlords' bank accounts.

God Bless

Doc

History Lessons Part II

2004-07-05T23:37:00.000-07:00

HISTORY LESSON PART II
Is Human history on the Harmonic Clock Cycle?

Last Friday’s post included warnings about history being repeated through out the world. Monday morning headlines point out to human history being repeated indeed. To keep ahead of the curve, you must develop a keen sense of human history in relation to current events. These events have occurred in the past and are currently reflected in the present by the current headlines. If you have investments, you must stay ahead of the financial curve with your short range and long range financial goals. As I explained in last week’s post the history of world war, we see the headlines mark the 90th anniversary of the events, which have yet to be concluded. At the turn of the century, the world had a world wide influenza ephedemic, which killed more people than both world wars combined. The news headlines are pointing to the mysterious influenza returning in the form of the “bird flu” which is being mutate naturally to infect humans. Once this strain of influenza begins to spread world wide, the economies of many countries will collapse under heavy burden of consumer debt. Since the primary areas of infection are in the Asia countries, this may not have much of an effect on our economy, until the people of china are infected. China’s slave labor force is the driving force behind the U.S. consumer economic boom with its cheap imports to RedMart’s stores. http://www.firstscience.com/site/editor/008_ramblings_02052003.asp

The following story never tells you the exact religion of the assassin, but if my memory is right, he was a member of the Wahhabi sect of Islam. (although he was born a Serbian, the young Bosnian Movement advocated terrorism to achieve their goals) IN today’s world of political correctness, much of history is being re-written to reflect the politically correct thinking of today. It is strange that so much human history can be equated to cycles, such as my harmonic stock clock cycles. Most of the fighting is finished since the Archdukes assassination, however, after 9 decades, the fight may just be beginning all over again, since for 60 years this fight has been put on hold by the strong arm of communism. I wonder if the fight has already began to spread through out the world with the fall of the Soviet Union in the early 1990’s, and this is just the calm before the real storm.

Headlines read:

Bosnia Marks Austrian Archduke's Death

Sun Jun 27, 1:37 PM ET

By GEORGE JAHN, Associated Press Writer

SARAJEVO, Bosnia-Herzegovina - The museum caretaker goes into a storage room and, from the back of a dusty shelf, fishes out a yellowing photograph of Gavrilo Princip, the young, weary-eyed assassin. "This was him," says the caretaker, Bajro Gec. "He was the one who started it all."

Princip fired the shots that changed Bosnia — and the world — on a Sarajevo street corner 90 years ago Monday, killing Archduke Franz Ferdinand and his wife, Sophie.

Bosnian Muslim historian Muhammad Filipovic says the same force drove Princip in 1914 as drove Milosevic and his henchmen in 1992 — "the idea of using force to create ... a greater Serbia."

But Serb historian Milan Protic suggests parallels between Princip and Palestinian leader Yasser Arafat (news - web sites).

"Is he a criminal or national hero?" Protic asked, suggesting the young Serb was the latter. "He was ready to sacrifice himself for whatever he believed in. He didn't want personal gain."

Associated Press reporters Samir Krilic in Sarajevo and Misha Savic in Belgrade contributed to this story.

Many Serbs acknowledge the well-documented atrocities committed by Bosnian Serb militia against Muslim and Croat civilians, but they also argue that similar crimes have been committed against Serb civilians. The Western press, they argue, has systematically favored the Muslim and Croat sides in this war.

Key Players in Historical events:

Who are the Croats?

Croats were long part of Austro-Hungary, and they view their culture as more European than the SerbsU. Croats are almost all Catholic. When Yugoslavia was initially created in 1918, they felt the Serbian monarchy oppressed Croats.

Index of Islamic Sects

Islam does not have nearly as many sects and divisions as does Christianity, but there are a few and it is worth knowing something about them. The two biggest are the Sunnis and the Shi'ites, with the Sunnis being the largest of all and representing the vast majority of Muslims. Shi'ites are a minority everywhere except Iran.
After them, the two most influential sects are the Sufis and the Wahhabis. The Sufis represent a mystical tradition in Islam, whereas the Wahhabis are a strict traditionalist tradition which is dominant on the Arabian peninsula, but has little support elsewhere.
Unlike churches, mosques are not denominational. Despite the differences among Muslims, traditional Friday prayer services are largely similar and Muslims of any background are welcome to attend services at any mosque.

Who are the Sunnis?
Sunnis are Muslims who are considered the more "orthodox" believers. Sunnis follow all of the most traditional beliefs and actions.
Who are the Shi'ites?
The term Shi'a is a shortened form of Shi'at Ali, which means "the party of Ali" - and at the time of Ali's death in 661, that is probably all it was: a party or tendency of people who supported Ali's claims to the caliphate. Over time, they became the largest non-Sunni sect in Islam.

Who are the Sufis?

Sufism is important to the development of Islam because it is in this tradition that the more spiritual and mystical aspects were preserved. This stands in contrast to the mainstream of Islam which, through its first centuries, was more concerned with the expansion and organization of the general community.

Who are the Kahrijites?

In Arabic, their label means "to go out" - they were, in effect, the first Mulism dissidents and rebels, being present almost from the dawn of Islam. Like later dissidents, they chose to separate themselves from the main body of believers, feeling that the majority of Muslims had lost the "true path."

Who are the Wahhabis?

Muhammad ibn Abd al-Wahhab could be considered the first modern Islamic fundamentalist. He made the central point of his reform movement the idea that absolutely every idea added to Islam after the third century of the Mulsim era was false and should be eliminated.

Using the Harmonic Stock Clock revels other market cycles

Going back to 9 centuries, instead of 9 decades, we find the world involve in the crusades against the “Islamic invaders”. http://www.crisismagazine.com/april2002/cover.htm

-------------

Other Headlines:

Enemy Combatants Win Right to U.S. Courts

U.S. Courts “Gone Wild” with your tax dollars!

By ANNE GEARAN, Associated Press Writer

WASHINGTON - The Supreme Court dealt a setback to the Bush administration's war against terrorism Monday, ruling that both U.S. citizens and foreigners seized as potential terrorists can challenge their treatment in U.S. courts.
Foreign-born men held at a Navy prison camp at Guantanamo Bay, Cuba, can also have their day in U.S. courts, the justices said.

This will lead to escalation of the budget deficit and committing valuable resources to those who vowed the destruction of the U.S. The cost to the American Tax payer will be substantial, with court costs, attorneys, and numerous appeals. The latest ruling by the Supreme court have shown that the court is out of touch with reality. We have people committed to terrorism and the death of the U.S. and they want the tax payers to extend our rights under equal treatment. They are giving your tax dollars away offer the terrorist the same rights as U.S. citizens! Now the terrorist have another weapon to use against the American people, economic bankruptcy though endless appeals and court cost. Not to mention civil lawsuits, that will be brought about by the class action lawyers.

Father of Kidnapped Marine Makes Appeal

TRIPOLI, Lebanon - The father of a Lebanese-born U.S. Marine whose captors in Iraq (news - web sites) are threatening to behead him pleaded Monday for his son's release, saying he was not involved in the fight against Iraqi resistance groups

Cpl. Wassef Ali Hassoun was shown blindfolded, with a sword brandished over his head in a videotape aired Sunday — the latest in a flurry of new kidnappings and death threats in Iraq just ahead of the hand over of power to a new Iraqi government.
His kidnappers identified themselves as part of "Islamic Response," the security wing of the "National Islamic Resistance — 1920 Revolution Brigades." The name refers to the uprising against the British after World War I.

Pakistanis reacted with outrage and grief Monday over Hafeez's kidnapping with some blaming their government for siding with the United States in the war on terrorism and many expressing disbelief that guerrillas would target fellow Muslims.

"I cannot believe it. I never thought Iraqis could be enemies of Pakistanis," said Sumaira Anwar, a 30-year-old housewife in the eastern Pakistani City of Lahore.

Suspected outbreak of bird flu reported on farm in central Thailand

1 hour, 14 minutes ago
BANGKOK, Thailand (AP) - Thailand suspects a new outbreak of bird flu at a farm in a central province where thousands of chickens have died, the deputy agriculture minister said Tuesday.

"I have received reports that there are suspected bird flu cases in Ayutthaya province and the result of lab tests will be confirmed in the next couple of days," Newin Chidchob told reporters. "It is possible that the outbreak will return," Newin said.
The severe strain of the bird flu virus swept through 10 Asian nations earlier this year, killing or forcing the cull of more than 100 million poultry - including more than 37 million birds in Thailand.
The disease also jumped to people, killing 16 people in Vietnam and eight in Thailand.
In Canada, some 17 million birds were slaughtered after the disease hit the B.C. Fraser Valley poultry industry in February.

Is Human history on the Harmonic Clock Cycle?
It would seem so, that events are repeating themselves.

God Bless

Doc

History lessons: Good Men do Nothing

2004-06-25T13:44:00.000-07:00

History lessons: Good Men do Nothing

I am a student of human history and I see many parallels of today’s current events with those of the past. Staring with world war I, when archduke Ferdinand was assassinated. This event sparked a 4-year bloody war which new weapons were being introduced to kill the enemy more effectively. The invention of chemical of weapons of mass destruction. Fortresses were built, to stop massive infantry movements through what was believed to be strategic areas. The Magionot Line of fortresses and bunkers were built. Infantry troops dug defensive trenches, while long-range artillery defended the “no man zone” between the enemy’s trenches. The invention of a mobile armored tank neutralized the trenches. The invention of the airplane neutralizes the trenches and the long-range artillery that was defending the trenches. During war world I, over 20 million people were killed worldwide by the war. After world war I, the League of Nations was formed to prevent the spread of war by “discussing” grievances and forming alliances to defend each country. The League of Nations proved to be a total failure at preventing war, but allowed evil to gain strength while talking about “peace in our own time”.

True evil will prosper if good men do nothing, the Nazi’s talked about peace, even while they marched into Paris without firing a shot. The “good men” in the League of Nations, loved to talk about peace, when dealing with true evil, even at the point of looking down the gun barrel of the enemy. The “good men” of Europe had cognitive dissonance when dealing with the face of “real evil”. When the “good men” began to fight evil, the world lost over 200 million men and women. The cost of good men had increased with improved weapons of war. The United Nations was created after W.W.II to prevent another world war. Another attempt to by good men to talk, instead of fighting evil.

My point to this short history lesson is that when good men do nothing, evil will prosper. At the beginning of the war, the good men could have stopped the evil before the war spread through out the world. The good men of W.W.I could have stopped the evil from spreading if the good people in the country would stand up against evil and not placate and pacify true evil. As a result of talking peace, the good men had to pay the price by being the first ones to die, along with their families and their cultures. The good men of W.W.II allowed evil to prosper, (Nazi) and the evil almost conquered the world. The good people were the first ones to die. The peaceful people are always the first to be slaughtered, raped, pillaged, and plundered. You can only maintain “peace through strength”, as Ronald Regan said.

Today, true evil exist in the form of Wahhabism sect of Islam. Another form of fascism that has been allowed to prosper while the United Nations has been discussing peace. There are 15 major conflicts going on in the world, most caused by 1 or more wahhabism sect of Islam. One of the key components of evil was Saddam Hussein, he was truly evil. Tales of Saddam’s torture chambers, rape chambers are beyond human rationality. Saddam has killed more Muslims than any man in history. During his 8-year war with Iran, the United Nations did nothing! During the war with Iran, both sides used wahhabi teachings to induce young boys as young as 8 years old, to charge across land mine fields ahead of the infantry and armored tanks. They gave them pieces of paper to admit them into paradise. Later on, they gave them “gold keys” to hang around their necks, in case the pieces of paper were blown up. After millions had died on both sides, there was a temporary peace. The evil Saddam was allowed time to prosper, selling his oil for more weapons, presidential palaces which span up to 50 square miles, and building more weapons of mass destruction. The United Nations did nothing, when Saddam used the Kurdish people to test some of his chemical weapons. When Saddam claimed Kuwait, and invaded, raped and pillaged, and plundered this peaceful Muslim country, the United Nations could not stop him! Just as the League of Nations could not stop the evil that swept through Europe.

The United Nations did nothing, until the U.S. urged them to stop the evil. However, the United nations would not remove Saddam from power, but allowed him to prosper again. While he was prospering, so were those who practiced Wahhabism, being under the radar screen of most westerners. Iraq had terrorist training camps, where those religious fascists could practice their art of death. On Sept 11, the United States received our wake up call, that evil is alive and prospering under the guise of a religion. We retaliated by removing the Wahhabis from Afgansistan, then we moved on to Iraq, being known to have weapons of mass destruction. We knew he was trying to develop weapons of mass destruction. Saddam had long ago expelled weapons inspectors from his country, in violation of the peace treaty he signed. We sold Saddam some of those weapons of mass destruction when he was fighting the Iranians. Yes, we are guilty of allowing Saddam to prosper also, but at the time the saying of “the enemy of my enemy is my friend” seamed like the right thing to do.

The American people wanted to finished the first Gulf war, by removing Saddam from power, but the United nations would not give us the mandate to do it, so we left evil in power to prosper with time. If we would have invaded Saddam’s country during the first Gulf War in 1991, we would have found the weapons of mass destruction, but the United Nations prevented us from doing it. Over the next 12 years, he may have dismantled and put most of these weapons in other countries who were sympathetic to his cause. The U.S. urge the United Nations to remove Saddam from power, after violating the peace treaty, not allowing weapons inspectors into his country to verify his compliance. After 18 United Nations Resolutions condemning Saddam, for violations, we finally invaded his country to remove him from power and liberate the Iraqi people. The major reason we removed Saddam from power was the potential for him to give weapons of mass destruction to a radical wahhabi sect to use against us.

The United Nations, and some of our allies refused to help. Later, we find out that some of those who refused to help, were prospering from illegal oil sales.
The oil being sold for medical supplies were being skimmed for profits by non other than the United nations President’s own son! Wonder what the fait of the United Nations will be after the 3rd world war ends?

There are rumors of some Iraqis merchant marine ships that are floating around the world with some weapons of mass destruction on board. Strangely, restricted rocket motors from Iraq have shown up in the Netherlands, in a junkyard! Some chemical weapons have been used as improvised explosive devices in Iraq. Yet, we have not found bunkers of weapons of mass destruction. There are weapons of mass destruction there or in other countries, but in a country the size of California, to search every inch of the country will take time. Remember, Saddam had 12 years to build underground bunkers, spider holes, without weapons inspectors looking over his shoulder.

The stakes are high, as history has shown the number of innocent people who will die if evil is not stopped NOW! The weapons are more deadly, smaller, and more powerful than you can ever imagine. There are nuclear bombs of less than 100 pounds, able to destroy 6-12 city blocks. While inflicting radiation poisoning, promising a slow and painful death for the good people. The u.s. atomic regulatory agency, which keeps track of radioactive bomb making materials, at last count they are missing 2000 pounds of plutonium. A coffee can size of this deadly plutonium poison can be exploded over a major city with a simple rocket propelled grenade (rpg), and render the city inhabitable. The most deadly weapon of all is a biological weapon.. The biological weapon can be the size of a perfume sample vial! It is ironically, that just before W.W.I, a mysterious influenza spread throughout the world, killing more people than both world wars combined. There are only a limited number of people who can create these deadly biological weapons, but we need to find those people with the help of good Muslims. I believe some of these people are hiding with the fanatical wahhabis, biding time till we lose our resolve. We need to find the leaders and fanatical followers of wahhabism, before more innocent people are killed.

The other day, I talked with a “good man” who is 19 years old, and he was offered a job as a translator, but he declined, fearing for his own life. He is working as a security guard for $8.00 per hour, and he declined 120k per year as a translator. His fear of losing his own life, outweighed the money he was offered. Yet, I feel he did not considering the consequences beyond the monetary compensation. He failed to see the greater potential of saving millions of innocent people with his translation skills. As long as this shortsighted attitude persists, there will be more deaths and violence in our fight against the radical wahhabism sect of Islam.

In all the wars, the evil men comprised of less than 10% of the total population. It has been said that the Wahhabi sect of Islam is 10% of the total Muslim population. We have let evil prosper, and certain nations have funded radical wahhabism while talking peace about a peaceful solution. Now, the good people of Islam know WHO these radical and fanatical wahhabis are where we can find them. The good people of Islam have an opportunity NOW to prevent another world war, and with their help, TOGETHER WE CAN STOP THE EVIL FROM SPREADING VIOLENCE AND HATRED THROUGHOUT THE WORLD.

God Bless

Doc

Islam, The Enemy Within

2004-06-23T23:29:00.000-07:00

Islam, The Enemy Within

I urge the good men of Islam to help up fight the real enemy of Islam. Some how my message was taken as anti-Islamic. However, that was not my intention. I am, and have never been anti-Islamic, but I am anti-evil. Who said, “For evil to prosper, good men do nothing”? Evil is a word that is not used very much in today’s world of political correctness. That is because, by definition, people have to make a “judgement” of what is good and what is evil.

The politically correct news media has told you not to judge, not to make judgements, and by doing that, they have allowed evil to prosper. If those in the traitorous American news media would apply judgement, whose judgement would they use? This leads them to the narrow and strait road of religion, which they do not want to face. History has shown that moral equivalence does not work, you need something other than “how you feel” about what is good and evil. But more on religion and moral equivalence later, right now the threat to the world is Wahhabism sect of the Islamic religion.

Most Americans do not know there are different Islamic sects. The Islamic sect of Wahhabism, is the sect who is causing most of the problems in the world. There are 15 major conflicts around the world, caused by Wahhabis who cannot tolerate their neighbors. The Wahhabis believe in religious in-tolerance, and those who will not be converted, will be killed. According to sheik Kahbani, who condemns the violence and practices a peaceful sect of Islam, the Wahhabis sect is founded on violence and intolerance. The Wahhabi sect, was practice in Afghanistan, by Al Qida, before we liberated the people.

Thanks to the Traitorous American Media, most Americans do not know anything about Islam or the conflicts that have happened throughout the world. Remember the fall of the Soviet Union, Bosia, Serbia, Chechnya, all these conflicts were not about freedom, but religious intolerance of wahhabism. The traitorous American news media will not tell you the truth about these conflicts.

NEWS HEADLINES:
CAIRO, Egypt - An Iraqi militant group has beheaded its South Korean hostage, Al-Jazeera television reported Tuesday.

To quote a movie line, "You didn't know who you were *&^% with did you?" As I posted earlier this week, the Good men of Islam had better stand up for their religion, because it is being hijacked by the radical Islamic teaching of Wahhabism. The South Korean soldiers will not take prisoners, but will show them some Korean justice. The South Korean soldiers will not have to worry about the American Traitorous news media, nor will they have to worry about civil rights, or the Geneva Convention governing soldiers of war.

Russia Attacks Raise Concerns in Chechnya
Wed Jun 23, 2:29 PM ET
By JIM HEINTZ, Associated Press Writer

“Like Chechnya, Ingushetia is predominantly Muslim, and the radical Wahhabi strain of Islam that has increasingly dominated the Chechen insurgent forces could be a banner under which discontented Muslims would rally. Even Chechnya's separatist president Aslan Maskhadov, seen as a secular Muslim at heart, has espoused fundamentalist Islam as Wahhabi warlords such as Shamil Basayev gained influence.”

“In the view of Col. Ilya Shabalkin, the spokesman for Russia's forces in Chechnya, the Ingushetia assaults were a showpiece "aimed to demonstrate the rebels' effectiveness to attract funding from foreign terrorist networks."

The traitorous news media's pursuit of profits in the 24-hour news cycle, has kept the American public confused omitting relevant facts when reporting about the true causes of war. I bet that most Americans don't know that the "ethnic cleansing" in Bosnia was caused by Wahhabi sect, persecuting and executing Christians first! Over 200k Christians were killed in the first round of "ethnic cleansing". When Misolivich had organized, and defended the Christians and began his "ethnic cleansing", Monika was on the front pages. Then, Bill Clinton, in a "wag the dog" scenario, made Mislolivich the criminal. He then allowed u.s. warplanes to change their markings to NATO, to bomb and kill over 2000 innocent Bosnian. Did the Traitorous News Media ever show the innocent Christian bodies? The showed the victims of Milosivich, and thereby causing the good people to rise up and bring him to justice. Who has brought justice to the Wahhabis after they had slaughtered the Christians? NO ONE! Bill Clinton and the good people of the world, allowed the evil sect of Wahhabism to prosper and become a threat to the whole wold!

I would refer to Tony brown's website and his posted articles, to understand more about the Islamic religion.

(HOW TO IDENTIFY AMERICA’S ENEMY)

By Tony Brown

http://www.tonybrownsites.com/

THE TWO FACES OF ISLAM
"If Americans are to defeat the fascists who are exploiting Islam (the Islamo fascists), we will need the people of goodwill who believe in traditional Islam to help us do it. This has been done before. Muhammad Z. Q. explains below how, during the early days of Islam, the Khawarij, the first extremists (or terrorists) in Islam, were silenced by orthodox Sunni scholars' (`ulema) condemnations and refutations against them...Therefore, to Schwartz, Islam itself is not the problem, but the militant interpretation of Islam, as espoused by the Wahhabis and the Sa'udi monarchy, is what needs to be stopped."

The Saudis are beginning to see the monster they have created turn against their way of life, and have finally taken some necessary steps to prevent more beheadings. Did you know, that more Muslims have been beheaded than non-Muslims? After the beheading of a South Korean translator, the world is beginning to take sides.

News Headlines:

Saudis Offer Militants One-Month Amnesty
1 hour, 31 minutes ago
By SALAH NASRAWI, Associated Press Writer
JIDDAH, Saudi Arabia - Saudi Arabia offered Islamic militants a limited amnesty Wednesday, saying their lives would be spared if they surrendered but they would face the "full might" of state wrath if they did not.
At the same time, the Saudi foreign minister denounced calls by militant clergy for Saudis to travel to Iraq (news - web sites) to join insurgents battling the U.S. military and its Iraqi allies.

I am wondering if anyone is reading my blog? HEY NANCY POLOSI, join the rest of those who condemn the real evil, and quit grandstanding for a prisoner abuse commission!

Condemnation for Iraq beheading, praise for Seoul's firm stand
Wed Jun 23, 1:42 PM ET
HONG KONG (AFP) - Asia reeled in horror at the beheading of a South Korean hostage in Iraq (news - web sites), but joined the United States in praising Seoul for refusing to bow to the kidnappers' demand to withdraw troops.

Japan, China and Australia were among the countries that along with the United Nations
United Nations Secretary General Kofi Annan (news - web sites) offered his condolences and said nothing could justify the killing.
"The secretary general condemns in the strongest terms this heartless crime, which no political or other cause can justify," Annan's spokesman said in a statement.

China feels shocked and condemns it," the foreign ministry said in a statement.
Australian Prime Minister John Howard said the news was "sickening".
"My heart goes out to that poor man's family who've suffered so much," Howard said.
Manila similarly expressed its revulsion, with newly elected Philippine President Gloria Arroyo's spokesman Ricardo Saludo saying: "We condemn any form of bloodshed."

Thailand's foreign ministry also denounced the killing and said that the Thai contingent in Iraq would complete its one-year humanitarian mission that was due to finish at the end of September.
Malaysia was the first Islamic nation to condemn the killing. Deputy defence minister Zainal Abidin Zin told AFP: "We are sad and shocked that this has happened ... we hope the security situation in Iraq will improve."
Pakistan's foreign ministry spokesman Masood Khan said: "All such beheadings are brutal and inhuman and we condemn them", while his Indonesian counterpart Marty Natalegawa condemned the "barbaric killing".
While Manila has said it may pull its troops out of Iraq when an interim government takes office at the end of the month, other allies have vowed to continue support for the war effort and praised Seoul for not buckling under.
"From what I have read of the reactions of the South Korean government it will not have any effect. They have quite rightly said they will not be deterred by this kind of terrorist attack," Bremer said.
Japan, "We share with your government's resolute stance not to bow to terrorism," Kawaguchi said.

Is this the Beginning of the end of Wahhabism, or the Beginning of World War III?
Stay tuned in at this blog, to stay ahead of the curve!
Doc

Where are the Good Men of Islam?

2004-06-20T17:52:00.000-07:00

Where are the Liberals Today?

Those who have protested so loudly about the humiliation of some prisoners are strangely silent today! There are no calls to the Geneva Convention, no Senator Ted Kennedy grandstanding in congress, no speeches by George Soros, no comment by the groups seeking to free the prisoners, and more importantly, no pictures on the front pages of any Traitorous American Newspaper! The smart-ass liberals have no comments, they have no condemnations, they have no calls for justice, and they have no condolences to the brave American Citizen who was cowardly beheaded by their FRIENDS! Yes, the radical Islamic Terrorists have Friends in the Liberal press! The liberal press who stand by silently without condemnations of a real atrocity!

The Liberal Press are proud to condemn American soldiers, yet when the confronted by a ‘REAL Enemy, and the enemy of free speech, they are shamelessly silent! Where are the comments by those who practice the peaceful Islamic religion, where are their condemnations and their condolences to the family? Where are the “good men and women” of the Islamic religion, who let radical men tarnish the name of Islam?

For these radical Islamic terrorist men to prosper, the good Islamic men do nothing! Surely, the good men and women of Islam who live in America can speak out freely against American wrong doings. Can they not speak out freely against another Muslim? What sort of religion prevents fellow Muslims from correcting each other? What kind of religion justifies the death of innocent people? What kind of religion promotes suicide bombers, promising them eternal paradise by killing the enemy?

I am telling you, the good men and women of Islam, you better take a stand, either you are with us, or you are with these radical terrorists. If you let these few, radical socialopaths ruin the good name of your peaceful religion, America’s wraith will rain on the “just and unjust”. Just as the rain falls from the sky on fields that have crops or weeds.

You may think America is fearful by our determination to eradicate terrorism throughout the world. A terrorist cannot live in a vacuum, they need a hiding place, they need money, and they need shelter. All we need is your help and cooperation by finding these terrorists’s hiding from justice. Without your help and cooperation, we are not fearful of losing our way of life, nothing could be further from the truth, we are fearful of what we might do to you, the good men and women of Islam.

For if these radical terrorist, with the help of our traitorous news media, weaken our resolve, weaken our will power to do the necessary things to prevent more innocent deaths, the world will be plunged into the third world war. Then everyone will lose, not just our way of life, but your way of life, as you know it.

The Saudis to the Rescue

The Saudi government has begun to get the message, that this is a fight for freedom of religion, freedom from terrorists who threaten their way of life. Thank you, for your condolences, and your actions by bringing some of these radical terrorist to justice. I look forward to more co-operations between the good men and women of the Saudi government to bring these destructive radical terrorists to justice once and for all!

South Korean Held in Iraq Pleads for Life

“The Arab satellite TV network Al-Jazeera aired a videotape Sunday purportedly from al-Qaida linked militants showing a South Korean hostage begging for his life and pleading with his government to withdraw troops from Iraq”

The latest news headlines…. What are the good men and women of Islam going to do?

God Bless
Doc

A Salute to the Gripper

2004-06-13T12:26:00.000-07:00

Salute to the Gripper

In my younger days, I was on the verge of becoming a young liberal when one man said there is hope for America. His positive attitudes infected and challenge my socialist ideals of what “America” should be. I like most American suffered under the previous policies of the “Mr. Rogers sweater-wearing President”. The prime rate was at 20%, my mortgage rate was at 13% and the un-employment rate was above 10%. Filing my income taxes was even more difficult with the multiple tax brackets and deductions.
The presidential election was surely one of the easiest decisions most Americans had to make base upon the “misery index”. After his victory in the election, the world began to change. America still had the same problems, but there was hope! His vision of freedom and “peace through strength” sent shockwaves around the world. He was labeled a “cowboy”, an “actor”, a “war monger”, an “idiot”, and yet he was able to communicate his ideas to the American people. His ideas about the economy were laughed at and called voodoo economics. The opponents of his economic program ensured there would be deficits, because they began spending more money, than doing what they had promised. The Federal tax revenues when he became president were only 385 Billion, and the deficit was 80 billion per year. When his tax cuts were implemented, the Federal revenues began to increase upward, over the next 8 years to 1 trillion dollars. The deficits grew also, to???, all within manageable levels.

The whole idea of a president controlling your financial future is folly propagated by the repeated citations of budget surpluses and deficits. The president does not allocate funds for the Federal Budget, congress does. The president does not cut budgets, but only proposes guidelines for congress. There were no line item veto’s, either the president signed the budget or he did not sign it and returned it to congress. The president was not responsible for any agency’s cut within the Federal budget, but he was personally blamed for someone’s shortfall at the national feed trough. The “3 card Monte” game that was being played out was the brainchild of the Democratic Party. The Democratically controlled congress, allow all the tax cuts, but they also cut popular existing social programs. Now, to understand the math in Washington, a spending cut is not a cut, but a reduction of “planned increases”. The Federal “planned increases” for the budget was around 13% a year, based upon the inflation index. Nothing mobilizes people more than proposing to cut their favorite government social program. Meanwhile, the number of government employees grew and “new social programs” were created as a “safety net” for those who were displaced by the “old social programs” cut. When the president ask if you were better off than 4 years earlier, the people responded by voting 49 states to 1!

The opposition party was embarrassed to the point hysteria and using the news media as their bully pulpit. All out class warfare began, the rich vs. poor, whites vs. blacks, political scandals, investigations and allocation of wrong doing, all to discredit the president’s economic program of cutting taxes and big government spending.

Despite the fact the stock market, personal income, and job creation began increasing for the next 18 years, all the news media could do was focus on the problems. The news media’s hatred of the “gipper” legacy has polluted a whole generation of Americans who were not politically active during the last 20 years. They are still pouring salt into the wound that divides this country today. Every problem in America is because of the “gipper”, and those who believe in the wisdom of the American people and not big government. The “gipper” believe that the American people were smart enough, inventive enough, and creative enough, for self-improvement without the governments help. The opposition party believed that all wisdom, and resources were created in Washington, and that the American people were too stupid to handle their own problems. I suspect, that next week will begin the vicious cycle of attacks on the conservative politics and more than once the “gipper ideas” will be mentioned as the source of all problems.

So I will have a few shots of black label and reminisce on the good things that the “gipper” gave us.

Rekindling the American Spirit and creating a positive vision for all people,
Encouraging self-improvement
Spreading freedom throughout the world
Free market economics
Ending the cold war
Spreading capitalism
Creating an atmosphere innovation and productivity
Deregulation of airlines and transportation
Clear positive communication of ideas
Moral and spiritual clarity
Presidential Leadership
A balanced Supreme Court

To quote the “gipper”, which is still relevant in today’s fight against terrorism.

“Let’s set the record straight. There is no argument over the choice between peace and war, but there is only one guaranteed way you can have peace—and you can have it in the next second—surrender.”

God Bless

Doc

Other Political Points

2004-06-13T12:08:00.000-07:00

The International Forecaster

Image via Wikipedia

I read some of Bob Chapman's articles. In this day and age of the Internet, it is very difficult to discern the truth. Lies and half-truths run amok in the Internet world created by anyone who has access to a computer. While some of the writings of Bob Chapman contains the truth, his political views may have influences to the point of being biases. His current article about the Federal Reserve's “Plunge Protection Team” is right on.

However linking the plunge protection team to the Bush’s Administration and the Fed may be a far reach. I agree with his writings about the “plunge protection team”, but who control’s the “PPT” is anyone’s guess.

To speculate who is in control of the world’s financial industry leads to things that go “bump in the dark”. I know from personal experiences in my younger days, you can spend considerable amount of time learning about “hidden conspiracies”. They make interesting conversations over you favorite “Black Label" drink when you find someone rare enough for intelligent discussions.

Image by Longster47 via Flickr

Bob Chapman’s assumptions that the Fed works for President Bush, or they are working together to prop up the stock market are not correct. I have said, the Fed doesn’t work for anyone, but it’s own membership. Whatever the Fed’s goals are,
it is not to be primarily concerned with the stock market!

I am concerned that so many people see our war in Iraq and temporary occupation as negative. This may be caused by the news media’s biased goals of increasing ad revenue by publishing negative and demoralizing information without the proper context. Sure, there were mistakes made in the occupation, but to use “hindsight” to gauge our successes or failures is only playing into the hands of those “that are against us”.

America is not fearful of terrorists but we have made the terrorist fear us. We have the power to end terrorism, but we are may not have the “will power” to win the war on terrorism.

Image via Wikipedia

Unlike certain European countries, who are fearful of terrorism, they have transferred their fear to America’s war on terrorism through self-abasement. The European countries secretly resent America’s help during World War II, because they could not defeat their very own tyrant and dictator. They resent America’s occupation after World War II, during the cold war, the end of the cold war, and the defeat of communism in favor of capitalism.

European countries have always had a strong appeasement attitude toward dictators and tyrants, and based upon their history, appeasement is always the wrong choice!

I will post this at the “ahead of the curve” group also, since this falls more into that category, than trading.

Thanks for the question Dan,

God Bless
Doc

Traitorous Media Assault continues

2004-05-21T00:03:00.000-07:00

Traitorous Media Assault continues

The news continues with more true lies and propaganda for our enemies. The green card anchors have the lead story

"Iraqis Say U.S. Attacked Wedding Party", instead of an investigative reporting, we get the news through the eyes of our enemies. While the Headlines SCREAM of America's evil doing, after 2/3 of the news article, the following is inserted

"U.S. military spokesman Brigadier General Mark Kimmitt said the attack targeted a suspected foreign fighter safe house."
"We estimate that around 40 were killed," he said.

Just to emphasize the evil American actions, and witness is quoted.

Munif Abdullah, who said he witnessed the attack, told Reuters in the regional capital Ramadi: "They hit the cars and houses. They even hit the families running away."

Now, the new media has no pictures, no home video, no evidence at all about the Iraqis claims, yet they believe THEM over the American commander! The commander went on to say, "How many people go to the middle of the desert 10 miles from the Syrian border to hold a wedding 80 miles from the nearest civilization?"

The TRUE Headlines should have been
" Americans strike smuggler's safe house in dessert".

I recommend that everyone rent this movie, " Rules of Engagement", and to understand the nature of our enemies. The dumb traitorous American news media is being used to promote the enemy’s propaganda.

NEW ALERT...........

I noticed this the day before 911 sneak attack,
Space Weather News for May 20, 2004
http://spaceweather.com

Tonight and tomorrow the slender crescent Moon will be
gliding by the
planet Venus. Look for the pair in the western sky
shortly after sunset.
If you have a telescope, even a small one will do,
point it at Venus. It
looks just like the Moon; Venus is a slender crescent,
too! The phases of
Venus is beautiful and easily seen through backyard
telescopes.

Who has a crescent moon and a star on their flags???
You guessed it!

The FBI just issued a warning to 18,000 U.S. law enforcement agencies to be on the look out for suicide bombers!

God Bless

Doc

Housing Starts and Building Permits

2004-05-18T00:56:00.000-07:00

Housing Starts and Building Permits

Tuesday’s report could send the market into a tailspin. Short-term traders need to watch the daily signal lines. I posted a chart for long-term traders on the title page of this group. The green signal lines and red may cross if negative news comes out about the housing market. I feel that inflation fears are under estimated, once the Fed begins to raise rates, inflation will be compounded. The Fed has never been ahead of the curve with inflation or deflation. Oil will be at $45 per barrel by Memorial Day, and $54 by the Fourth of July. Going into the heart of the summer, buyers will be reluctant to risk going long stocks.
The China connection to inflation is still under the radar of most investors. The Chinese economy will drive the price of oil higher, while they are saber rattling against the primary chipmakers, the Taiwanese. The U.S. warning was issued after China, just days before Taiwanese President Chen Shui-bian starts his second term, threatened to crush any steps towards independence "firmly and thoroughly at any cost."

The Chinese imports of oil have increased as much a 1/3 over the last year. They are stockpiling oil supplies when A) they go to war with Taiwan, and B) if the Iraqi war becomes a chemical battlefield. As a side benefit of their increasing demand for more oil, our gasoline prices will skyrocket this summer. Even if they were not increasing their demand for oil, the U.S. is incapable of meeting our own demand due to environmental concerns restricting any new oil refineries being built.

For traders, a good time to make money on the low volume this summer by trading options using a straddle or spread strategy. When trading low volume days, be sure to take note of the daily signal lines, sharp reversal can occur when crossing these lines.

Also, there were 5 sunspots facing earth yesterday, watched solar radiation spike to one of it’s highest levels during the India’s stock market collapse. Today there are 6 sunspots facing earth. Either up or down on Tuesday, it should prove to be volatile day. For those who want to know more about space weather go to: http://www.spaceweather.com/

Lastly, option expiration this Friday.

God Bless

Doc

Mystery, Babylon the Great…

2004-05-16T21:20:00.000-07:00

Mystery, Babylon the Great…

The Internet is full of mystery, what is the truth and what is fiction.
This weekend, very little news concerning the background of Nick Berg. The news media choose to keep the prisoner’s abuse scandal alive. Their traitorous actions have inspired the Iraqi terrorist to continue with their violence. The headlines read, “Iraq Insurgents Drive Italians From Base”. Calling the terrorist “insurgents”, as to make them morally equivalent to “real soldier” who wear uniforms and do not plant bombs to kill innocent people.

So the fighting continues to intensify, as the news media’s main concern is how some prisoner’s are treated. Remember, these are enemy combatants, they do not fall under the Geneva Convention rules, they do not wear uniforms, but use terrorist acts to achieve their goals.

“The U.S. government has told us that it needs to select some U.S. troops in South Korea and send them to Iraq to cope with the worsening situation in Iraq," said Kim Sook, head of the South Korean Foreign Ministry's North American Bureau.
Tapping into the U.S. military force in Korea would be an historic move by the Pentagon, underscoring the degree to which the military is stretched to provide enough forces for Iraq while meeting its other commitments.” As reported By CHRISTOPHER TORCHIA, Associated Press Writer.

If things are getting worst, how many more days will the news media talk about prisoner abuse?

Stay alert to decipher the truth; we are being sold out by the news media.

God Bless

Doc

True Lies Continue

2004-05-14T17:08:00.000-07:00

True Lies Continue

After witnessing the outrage of an American beheading on the Internet, the pompous news media justified out enemy's actions by continuing showing more humiliation pictures of certain prisoners. Without regard for the consequences to the rest of the American soldiers who are innocent of violating any prisoner's rights under the Geneva Convention. But wait, the Geneva Convention was for soldier of war, not for enemy combatants. When dealing with these Islamic fascist terrorists, who are not afraid to die in the name of their religion, the rules of the Geneva Convention do not apply. During World War II, FDR used the term "enemy combatants"; to execute and imprison Nazis whom landed on the East Coast to disrupt the American homeland. Under the Bush Administration, we have behaved more the admirably, by feeding the prisoners special diet, providing religious material, and allowing them to practice their religion 5 times a day. IN return for out kindness, the enemy continues to practice barbaric human sacrifices to their god. The news media continues to justify their action because we choose not to cower before their barbaric actions.

Just who are these enemies who have engrainedined into our free and open society? The news media believes that all people are basically good, and only the governments are bad. They believe that the enemy only wants the same things we want, "to live in peace and prosperity". Nothing could be further than the truth. To show how integrated the enemy is among the American society, when the Oklahoma bombing occurred, the American parties were arrest, tried, convicted, and sentenced. There were rumors that a 3rd party, possibly Arabic, was also responsible. However, in the politically correct era of the news media's lullaby, these rumors were dismissed and never pursued. I have to ask more questions than I have answers, when listening to Mr. Berg's statement, "they have killed their best friend", when beheading his son. Mr. Berg, after making that statement, then accused the Bush administration of killing his son! Now, after picking my jaw up off the floor, more questions needed to be asking concerning the whole incident.

Now we find out, by some savvy reporter's investigation that Mr. Berg is a pacifist, but his son, Nick Berg, was pro war to liberate the Iraqi people. Now it really gets interesting. His son was interviewed after the Oklahoma bombing, because he let the 20th hijacker used his email account and set up several email accounts! The plot thickens, Mr. Berg's son was working on communication towers, fearlessly climbing to the top of cell towers. The FBI told him of the danger, he was Jewish, his American passport had been stamped from Israel, South Africa, and other various places in the mid east. So, what company did this 26-year old man work for? Did he work for the FBI, CIA, or was he working with the Iraqi people, or the terrorist? By his father's actions, posting an anti war poster in his front yard during a live television broadcast. Then coming forward with his associations with radical pacifist group, using son's death as grandstanding for his personal political agenda.

As of today, Al Jerzira news network is saying the Americans have faked the beheading of Tim Berg. They point out the lack of blood from cutting arteries, and how the body remains motionless as the knife blade begins it's cut. They also point out the possibilities that Tim Berg was beheaded after he was killed. Since I have not seen the video, I cannot say if they are correct. There are inconsistanties, such as his kidnapping occurred 3 weeks before the prisoner humiliation pictures were known; yet the killers used this as justification for the slaying. There are the emails he supposedly sent after his kidnappers released him. The state department questioned him after the release, and told him to go home, yet he remained.
In the Bible's book of Revelations, St. Paul refers to a "mystery Babylon", possibly envisioning the Internet. Where all knowledge of mankind is located, but deciphering the truth from fiction is very confusing.

God Bless
Doc

2004-05-13T09:15:00.000-07:00

News Media Traitors

We have been sold out by the news media. Watching the news media showing pictures of the Iraqis prisoner's humiliation be equated to level of atrocities at a Nazi concentration camp. The constant news media blitz, backed by the high percentage of democratic party members who run the major alphabet channels, is making me believe they are all traitors to the America ideals of "truth and justice for all". I witnessed the beginnings of the end of all truth within the news media after September 11, when those "on high, with their perfect hair and white teeth" DID NOT wear an American flag on their lapel. These sanctimonious pompous talking heads were not suppose to take sides, with the country the provided them with such blessings that their former country's could not. Most of the alphabet channels' talking heads and skirt still have their green cards in their wallets. With such arrogant attitudes, they have mis-led the America public by selecting the stories you see on television. They maximize the trivia stories and minimize the stories that will affect you and your children for years to come. These stories are nothing more than little trivia about the latest athlete, actor, or some other pop fad. During invasion of Iraq, the news media constantly minimized the military's ability to kick ass on the enemy, and maximized the enemy's ability to inflict casualties on the American forces. We were constantly reminded of the "Republican Guard", who would fight door to door against the "evil American invaders". After the war began, we went through "Elite Republican Guard" like a hot knife through butter.
When the American Advancing force stopped moving forward, because of supply chain limitations and a small sandstorm, the new media again tried to put a dagger in the American military back, "saying we told you so". When the military waltzed into Baghdad, during "Baghdad Bob's" news conference, which was saying, "we have defeated the American forces with heavy losses." The world knew we had the best and brightest military commanders and soldiers the world has ever known! No war in the history of the world, in both gulf wars inflicted so much damage to the enemy with so few losses on our side. The coup de grau was "embedding" reporters with "true American soldiers", reporting the truth unfiltered from the "Jane Fonda" wannabes in the editor's room. Witnessing the compassion, the kindness, of prisoners taken captive, after just shooting at "true Americans soldiers", who were giving first aid to the enemy. The news media was silent, but only for awhile. In our kindness, we made a fundamental mistake by not gathering the enemy into concentrations camps, but allowed them to put down their arms and return home. Less than 1 week after the statue of Saddam was torn down, the former Iraqi soldiers who we let go home, were in the streets protesting American occupation. During the restoration, The news media, once again, trivialize our efforts to restore power, build roads, schools, and hospitals, while maximizing the former Iraqi soldiers in civilian clothing protesting.

Have you seen American soldiers giving candy to the children of Iraq? Have you see American soldiers praying before they risk their lives patrolling the streets to stop looters? Have you seen pictures of Americans helping the sick and injured enemy, or feeding and clothing the enemy?

The last straw for me was watching gleeful burning and dismemberment of the civilian contractors in Fallujah. I cannot express my level of outrage in this forum. If I were in charge, "puff the magic dragon" would have cleared those streets. (Ask a soldier what "puff the magic dragon" is if you don't know) There is nothing worse than seeing burning and desecrated bodies, except a large crowd celebrating the death of Americans.

Have you seen the pictures of Fallujah? NO, the news media says the pictures are too graphic, but the real truth is they don't want to wake up American Patriotism like after Sept. 11. They, the news media, don't want you know the true face of the enemy. The enemy's face is Satanic at it's core base, and evil will prosper until the mask is lifted. The news media is supposed to report the facts, not filter the facts. But it all boils down to hiding the truth, until a bigger tragedy befalls America caused by the news media's lullaby. You, your children, and your grand children will pay the price for the news media's lullaby unless you act now!

Just when you thought it couldn't get any worse with the news media's biases, out comes the psychological humiliation pictures of some hard core prisoners. Over the last two weeks, I have witnessed my president apologize, the secretary, the generals, for something that is very trivial. Why do I call these incidents trivial? Humiliation is done every day in maximum security prisons in America, these same acts seen in the photos can be seen in some sex clubs in Major U.S. cities every day, and lastly, these acts of humiliation were every day events in the last presidential administration. Yet the news media has maximized the trivial, while minimizing the true atrocities of public beheadings of an American and an Italian.

I have witnessed the grand standing of democrats during an open senate hearing, fortifying our evil enemy. The enemy has satellite television, with all the alphabet channels, they see and hear our news media tear down the whole military based on few isolated incidents.

Did we ever hear an apology from Saddam, who knew the true face of the satanic enemy, while he was throwing them off buildings, or putting them into plastic shredders, or raping children in front of their parents, or drilling holes in body parts?

Yet, once again, our kindness is viewed as weakness, and the news media loves to exploit any and all mistakes.

Will we see the beheading of another American tomorrow, or
the beheading of the Italian citizen? The true face of evil will probably be hidden again, in favor of the more humiliation pictures, or the stock market's rise, or more senate grandstanding during a public hearing. The true enemy is within!

God Bless
Doc

2004-05-09T11:05:00.000-07:00

Welcome to 9ahead of the Curve.

Using my market cycle analysis program, the Harmonic Stock Clock, this blogg will post important information concerning long term investment decisions that are critical for long term gains.